Team Shearer (12)
David Shearer, Phil Goff, Annette King, Trevor Mallard, David Parker, Clayton Cosgrove, Damien O’Connor, Darien Fenton, Kris Fa’afoi, Ross Robertson, Maryan Street, Ruth Dyson.
The Young and The Restless (8)
Grant Robertson, Jacinda Ardern, Chris Hipkins, Phil Twyford, Clare Curran, Megan Woods, Ian Lees-Galloway, David Clark.
Cunliffe’s People (10)
David Cunliffe, Lianne Dalziel, Moana Mackey, Nanaia Mahuta, Louisa Wall, Sue Moroney, Rajen Prasad, Rino Tirikatene, Su’a William Sio, Raymond Huo,
Team Wavering (3)
Shane Jones, Carol Beaumont, Andrew Little
We need to move the Labour Party Coup Watch up from yellow to orange. There is now a high risk of a Labour Party Coup.
With a senior MP leaking to the media that there is a chance of a Spring move against Shearer, the facade of unity is over. There are real questions now as to whether Shearer is the man, or whether the ABC clique that has moved heaven and hell to block Cunliffe are ultimately robbing Labour of a victory next year.
Shearer’s inability to get better at media interviews has never been solved and his uncertainty and poor political management are now simply too glaringly obvious for any of Team Robertson to ignore.
Everything we are hearing at TDB from Ikaroa-Rawhiti is negative for Labour. If Labour only manage to squeeze out a win with less than a 1000 majority, the blame will turn on Shearer and a spill could be sooner than Spring.
The Australian Labour Party’s leadership spill over hasn’t helped.
Shearer’s fate, rightly or wrongly will be decided on Saturday night. If Labour have a majority over 1000, Shearer holds on till Spring, if Labour do poorly he won’t.