2 Weeks until Election: TDB Battlefield Analysis

Jesus wept!

What a week!

Chippy gets Covid.

Labour Party MP Angela Roberts was attacked at a political event.

Hana Maipi-Clarke’ had her home targeted in a politically motivated attack while the right claimed it was a lie.

ACT are promising to bring back submachine guns.

Winston is threatening Jack Tame for asking him hard questions.

National will stop building State Houses.

ACT want to rob you of January 2nd stat holiday.

National can not fund their foreign buyers tax but will allow foreign speculators to price the next generation out of home ownership.

NZ First just dumped a candidate who compared Covid vaccinations to Nuremberg trials.

National will give Landlords the power to throw tenants out without notice.

NZ First will misuse the Terrorism Suppression Act to designate domestic groups for paramilitary policing.

National will start riots and bloodshed at Funerals attempting to take Gang Patches from funerals.

National will rob 2 year olds, mutilate public transport and literally steal from climate change funds to give Landlord’s a $250 per fortnight tax cut!

ACT will start a race war with their racist referendum.

National and ACT will steal 2 years of our pension from Gen X.

Winston claims Māori aren’t indigenous.

ACT want to spark domestic meth cooking so they can pimp for big Pharma.

National will give bosses the right to sack after 90 days.

National, ACT and NZ First will all punish beneficiaries.

National, ACT and NZ First have used Māori as a punching bag.

National, ACT and NZ First will slash the public services while claiming they aren’t slashing public services.

National, ACT and NZ First will abandon all climate change legislation and allow the planet to burn.

National, ACT and NZ First are taking millions in donations from the mega rich.

All that in one week.

This isn’t an election, it’s a grudge fuck!

LABOUR: 32%

Chippy has Covid, normally that would be it but his incredible performance in the second debate has given Labour a shot in the arm and internal polling is showing they are bouncing back.

They have even promised to give Palestine a new ambassadorship!

I love how progressive Labour promises to be only when they are threatened by total political oblivion!

Get better soon Chippy! We need you. Watching Kelvin and Carmel host the event Chippy couldn’t be at highlighted why those two shouldn’t be allowed to host anything ever again.

Because of all this toxic self interested right wing policy that literally takes from the poor and gives to the rich while building a Police State, I think honest Kiwis will reject malice and spite as political values and will stay loyal to Chippy even while he has Covid.

 

NATIONAL: 35%

During the Paddy Gower debate, Luxon proudly tells the nation that he will send 1500 heavily armed Police officers into Gang tangi to rip from their bodies gang patches.

This potato headed fuckwit will send 1500 heavily armed police in Gang Tangi’s to rip their patches off them?

What the fuck has happened to this country for this fucking moron to be the champion of the Opposition?

Can you all see the pointless violence and sudden ramping up of the Police State that Luxon represents?

His bullshit foreign buyers tax policy is a joke that will never raise the money he claims while slashing public services.

He will crack down on beneficiaries because bashing beneficiaries is what right wing arseholes love.

This muppet, if elected will immediately start a war on gangs that will only create more havoc and bloodshed.

 

ACT: 11% + 2 Electorates

BREAKING BAD ACT have decided to back the local meth production industry by bewilderingly wanting the banned meth pre-curser Pseudoephedrine back on the shelves!!!

On top of this, another ‘New World Order’ Conspiracy candidate was outed by the media and David proudly announced if ACT are elected, they will take your January 2nd stat holiday off you.

ACTs extremism is now spooking voters and that’s why they have been slipping in the polls.

What was funny a couple of months ago is now seriously dangerous.

 

GREENS: 15% + 2 electorates

I have been very harsh on the Greens this term, but I have zero interest in relitigating those criticisms because right now, the Greens are facing their greatest possible electorate win next month and it has enormous impacts on the future of the Political Left in NZ.

Four amazing things are happening all at the same time for the Greens.

1 – The Greens have been relentlessly focused and disciplined in terms of messaging. They have put the Wealth Tax idea front and centre of the debate by demanding a fundamental redesign of the economic structure to tap new revenue streams created from untaxed wealth accumulation. We can’t fund better social services and infrastructure if we don’t have the taxation and we should only get that taxation from those sectors and individuals who are using their market position to milk us. The identity politics has taken a backseat to the pragmatic issues people struggling want answers to, and this has helped enormously!

2 – Labour’s incremental fecklessness and cautious nothingness has seen a wholesale landslide of Labour Left walking over to the Greens, I mean after that bullshit Captain’s Call on the Wealth Tax, why bother voting Labour? GST off my banana don’t mean jack shit.

3 – The re-emergence of Marama and the brilliance of Chloe in the debates is generating the kind of buzz that activists need to be enthused by to turn up.

4 – Demographics have changed and there are more Gen X and Millennials voting than Boomers and their fears and hopes and aspirations are not being catered to by ACT, National, NZ First or Labour.

When the Greens were part of Alliance they won 18% of the vote, but strip the Alliance away, the highest result the Greens have ever had was 11.1 in 2011.

I believe the conditions are rip[e for a 15% Green Party win plus two electorates.

The weakness of Labour has given the Greens a platform to shine on and they have.

The importance of strong bottom lines in any Labour/Green/MP supply and confidence arrangement will be as important as the level of protest the Greens decide to use against National and ACT’s far right romper stomper campaign from Opposition.

Either way the Greens are set to record an historic win and permanently reshape the political landscape either from inside or outside Government after October.

 

Māori Party – 5% + 3 electorates

The disgusting manner in which Hana Maipi-Clarke’s home was targeted is an obscenity. The youngest candidate had her place broken into numerous times in a politically motivated attack, an attack Right Wing Trolls are claiming is a false flag event with crisis actors.

The lengths people will go to not believe here is a thing to behold.

The manner in which Māori gave been a political punching bag this election on top of the race baiting by National, ACT and NZ First will cause a backlash within Māoridom that will surprise on Election night.

NZF – 4.8%

Winston wants to designate every gang member a domestic terrorist for Christ’s sake, he’s lost another Candidate who was claiming those supporting the vaccine should face Nuremberg trials and he just had a train wreck TVNZ interview where he ended up threatening Jack Tame’s job!

If Winston is the answer, the question must be ‘What crooked old fox could make National and ACT even more toxic’.

Sub 5% Feral Antivax God Squad vote – NOTHING!

What’s been most interesting about the Racist Dumb Christians Qanon anti vaxx feral vote is that it is clearly out there, but what is fascinating is that it is cult leader focused.

NZ Loyal, Democracy NZ, Freedom NZ, New Conservatives – each are getting 1% traction but its limited to the personal messiah leading each movement.

Liz Gun, Matt King, Bishop Brian, Winston – each group of Racist Dumb Christians Qanon anti vaxx ferals are connected via the internet to their favourite messiah via a personal bond with the cult leader, so while they all have the same policies, it’s the cult of personality in the lonely lives of believers that shapes the bond.

Thank Christ all the leaders are toxic narcissist and refuse to work together.

How the Racist Dumb Christians Qanon anti vaxx ferals find a place post election in NZ culture is difficult to see and without any real clear movement, the fear is they will collapse into small cell groups and radicalise even further.

We had an option of deescalating this when the first version of the Dumb Lives Matter movement washed up on Parliament Lawns 2 years ago, but we refused to do that and it has metastasised into a treacle of dark hate the ramifications of which are still not calculated.

 

SPECIALS:

I don’t think we will know on election night who the Government will be and it could all come down to the specials 2 weeks after the election. That means NZ First must hit 5.2 on election night or get dragged under the threshold when the Specials get counted as the Specials tend to favour Greens, Labour and Māori Party.

The Economy

Interest rates will be going up before Christmas, food inflation prices will remain sky-high and the cost of living crisis will get more intense as geopolitical shockwaves impact oil and food prices.

Union Busting:

National and ACT will dump the Fair Pay Agreements and give Bosses the right to fire before 90 days.

This is a direct assault on the Union Movement and empowers the low wage economy National donors have become addicted to.

Expect migrant worker exploitation to explode throw the roof.

Class War on Renters:

Real Estate Pimps have donated millions to National and in return National have lifted the Foreign Buyers Ban and will give landlords the right to kick tenants out with no notice. National and ACT will also role back Tenants rights while reopening Landlord tax loop holes.

There is a class war on renters but we don’t have the political vocabulary to articulate it.

Speculators Paradise: 

By opening NZ up to foreign speculators while reopening landlord tax loops holes, National and ACT are opening NZ up for sale to their overseas wealthy mates.

Environmental Bonfire of the Vanities:

National and ACT will reverse oil and gas bans and steam full ahead at the Climate Change Iceberg. They will allow Agriculture another 5 years of doing nothing (that will be a total of 25 years of doing nothing) while slashing public transport and climate change budgets.

They will greenwash everything and lie about the rest.

The planet will burn and National and ACT will pour petrol on it.

Amputation of the State:

National and ACT have promised 14 000 job cuts and the amputation of 5 ministries and the Human Rights Commission. They will slash and burn the State and hack away at it with the ideological fervour of self-flagellating puritans.

Race War:

As a bottom line, ACT are demanding a referendum to renegotiate the Treaty with Māori and then just foist that upon Māoridom!

What in our 184 year history makes anyone believe that Māori will just accept that?

This referendum will generate an enormous social backlash and the hikoi to Wellington will become our largest protest march. Parliament Lawns will be Occupied, the real possibility of civil disobedience will erupt and all because ACT want to play race baiting games unleashing the worst angels of our nature.

Gun Fetishist Fantasies: 

The Gun lobby have deep control over ACT now and the killing off of the Gun Registry (an act the Police Association says is crazy, which really is saying something coming from the Police Association), and allowing the sociopaths submachine gun of choice back on the streets is truly the foreplay of a charmless man.

Private Prison Empire and Prison Riot:

National are promising to throw State Tenants onto the street while ACT promise a billion dollars to build more prisons!

You know the ‘Private prison’ solution is around the corner.

Our current publicly funded prisons are close to snapping point and the incompetence of technology and staffing of the home monitoring system that can be tricked by fucking tin foil are all red flags that the system can’t manage the prison popualtyioin they have, let alone pouring thousands more into it!

The recipe for an enormous prison riot is building.

 

PREDICTION

This is the most important election of a generation where the Right, unconstrained by decency and enabled by the infected hate of petty bigotry, will vandalise the Egalitarian State in a manner beneath the mana of our country and I think we are a better people than National, ACT and NZ First believe we are.

You must vote as if your life depended on it my fellow citizens, because under the Alliance of Arseholes, it really will be!

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