Will China’s Covid incompetence spark rebellion, war & economic pain?

New Zealand spent the time during our lockdown and Covid restrictions to ratchet up our vaccination rates so that when the inevitability of opening up presented itself, we could do so with a certain amount of hope.

That is not what has happened in China.

Xi staked his credibility on China’s authoritarian lockdown without preparing for the inevitable change.

China did not push through with a strong vaccination program, and the vaccinations they did use were bullshit Chinese designed ones.

China did not prepare for the increase in sickness and they did not prepare for the reality of the virus once they were forced to change tactic.

This incompetence means 2 million Chinese are at risk of death in 2023.

This incompetence will have economic impacts, social impacts and perhaps political impacts.

The people of China hand over real freedom and agency to the Communist Party in return for harmony and prosperity.

In a one child Nation, Grandparents are a cherished cultural power and having vast numbers of them dying because of Government incompetence has the potential to be the spark that generates actual political rebellion against the Government.

Xi has already shown he fears the people after they protested the extreme lockdowns, so how he will respond to their incandescent rage due to the high death rates is anyones guess.

The fear is that he will respond with a foreign Nationalistic military adventure against Taiwan to force the people to rally around the flag.

The massive movement of workers from the cities to the country this month will see waves of Covid peaks throughout the rural areas.

The true impact and social repercussions of China’s failure to prepare for Covid won’t be known until March but it throws up real threats and challenges.

The Communist Party are currently lying and hiding the true scale of the Covid impact and that’s never a good starting point.

All eyes will be on China in the coming months.

 

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