What a Trump Win would spell out in terrible detail
I think there are 3 possible outcomes for the US Election and many pressure points.
3 possible outcomes
OUTCOME 1: Polls have under estimated Democratic support the way they did during midterms and Harris wins a landslide. MAGA Extremists riot.
OUTCOME 2: Trump swamps the electorate with voters who never would have voted in the past and wins a convincing victory. Progressive movement riots.
OUTCOME 3: The Election is too close to call and Trump exploits that delay by stealing the election.
OUTCOME 1: Polls have under estimated Democratic support the way they did during midterms and Harris wins a landslide. MAGA Extremists riot.
Michael Moore has doubled down on his claim Trump will lose big and put forward the argument that there are enormous data points suggesting a Harris landslide…
Acclaimed film director Michael Moore predicts Kamala Harris will “win big,” pointing to analysis by a likeminded political scientist whom Moore calls “the only pollster I respect.”
“Not only is Trump going to lose,” he wrote Sunday, “but Kamala Harris is going to win, and win big.”
In the final stretch before Election Day, filmmaker and political commentator Michael Moore has boldly proclaimed a Harris victory. Moore’s optimism is fueled by the recent analysis of political scientist Rachel Bitecofer, whom he describes as the “only pollster I respect.”
“For all of you who have written me this week, unable to sleep, pulling your hair out, lost in a doom scroll, all of us at the precipice of the End of Democracy, I present to you…her very educated gut-feeling about how happy we may end up feeling by the end of this week,” Moore wrote as an introduction to Bitecofer’s analysis. “It’s a good feeling to know we’re not alone.”
..this is backed up by Democrats being under polled in the last election by as much as 4 points. Because MAGA Extremists have been told for the last 2 weeks Trump has the election in the bag and that he can only lose if Harris steals the election, this outcome could be the most dangerous because MAGA Extremists are so stupid they will riot.
OUTCOME 2: Trump swamps the electorate with voters who never would have voted in the past and wins a convincing victory. Progressive movement riots.
The only way Trump wins is if he reaches out to the 34% of Americans who don’t vote, that his hate, his malice, his spite manages to cut through all the noise to the disenfranchised voter who has lost all hope in the system and are voting because Trumps anger triggers them to support him.
IF Trump manages this, to reach into the void and drag non-voters into voting and wins, it will be a stark and terrifying victory because Trump will have gained a mandate for the horror he is promising to inflict.
OUTCOME 3: The Election is too close to call and Trump exploits that delay by stealing the election.
Let’s talk about the 3rd possible outcome, Trump attempts to steal the election.
I think the election will be close and that the normal time it will take to confirm the results will be seized upon by Trump (and amplified by Musk) that the election is being stolen, cause enormous violent protests and then use that violence to demand local level officials don’t proceed with the count and instead bounce it back to the Senate to make a vote in a 50/50 split where the Rep. Speaker Mike Johnson would be the tie breaking vote.
If Trump is going to try and steal the election, this is how he will do it.
Below are the political pressure points I think will impact the final result:
The Pressure Points
- Early voting trends don’t favour Republicans as much as they are claiming
- Women are voting early and that demographic fall heavily towards Harris
- Trump’s ground game in Pennsylvania was designed for Caucuses and will fail to attract voters, I also think the Democrats having 50 Election Offices vs the 20 Republican Election Offices will hurt them
- Jill Stein and Cornel West could be the difference in hurting Harris and Palestinian Rights Activists will not rescue the Blue Genocide in Michigan
- Insulted Puerto Ricans will not help Trump in Pennsylvania
- Biden’s apology to Native Americans might help Arizona
- Kamala’s Childless Cat Lady Nation will win the popular vote against Trump’s United States of Wounded Masculinity
- Trump is preparing MAGA to immediately attack any Harris win as a theft of the Presidency
- The 135million Americans who are 1 economic crisis away from homelessness are angry and resentful and want to hurt a system of Capitalism that enriches everyone but them.
The election is still too close to call and in the American Midnight of Trump’s Orange Fascism, a dull tangerine burns cold on the unforgiving horizon.
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None of the pundits are bullet proof despite their supporters wishes…but…Mike Moore does have something in his favour–he predicted a Trump win in 2016 when most others though Hilary Clinton had it in the bag. So I hope Mr Moore is right this time!
Intransigent, alienated non voters are the biggest potential voting group in the USA, and their numbers stay stubbornly high.
https://the100million.org
So is Trump really going to reach these people in 2024 that he did not inspire in 2016? Dunno, but one hopes not.
Previously undecided voters have been splitting in favour of Harris for many weeks now, by wide margins, particularly amongst women.
Trump will lose the election by a handy margin but expect a serious shit fight afterwards.
I’m hoping Musk is largely ruined because of all this as well. In any case, I certainly expect Tesla to crash within 2 years Musk is in this because he’s as desperate as Trump.
Anyone who supports Trump opposes civil rights, due progress and reproductive freedoms.
Yes. Anyone who supports Harris opposes social cohesion, peace in our time and free speech.
I would rather have LGBT rights, reproductive freedoms, and a secualar/atheist society rather than free speech.
Free speech is luxury we cannot afford it, given people like you will just use it as a weapon against minorities.
Then go live in China and be happy. Or these days even mother Britain would fit the bill for your requirements.
You are an idiot
Let me clarify. You are an idiot Ann E
If the MAGA Republicans were smart (oxymoron) and gone with a coherent meat-puppet, instead of a babbling douche bag, they would have had Project 2025 and The Handmaid’s Tale dystopia in the bag – watch this space.
Thats why they chose JD Vance as his VP.
It being highly relevant I also recommend reading Monbiot’s latest on the Emuskulation project.
https://www.monbiot.com/2024/11/04/emuskulation/
Gotta agree with outcome one. Mike Moore has successfully predicted the last five elections, and the polls are tracking this one, along with the almost 100 million early votes. History is about to be made. The real question remains as to how much of the “blue tsunami” will translate into Senate and House seats, and gubernatorial wins for the Democrats. Flyover country will remain red, but how much of the eastern seaboard will turn blue and what inroads will be made into the south. One fanciful poll suggested both Texas and Florida could turn blue, but I think that’s unlikely this time round. Maybe once the MAGAnuts have returned to their caves and hideouts and rejoined the nonvoters, that’s possible.
I strongly also suspect that on his defeat, Daipher Don Dementia Loser will suffer a health crisis, both physical and mental. This will mean he won’t face ongoing court action due to competency issues. He’ll fade from the headlines leaving historians to wonder what the hell possessed Americans to vote for him. Was it political disenchantment? Was it Russian interference? Or an intelligence coup? Nevertheless, he will long remain America’s most unpopular president ever for a long time.
“Interesting” times ahead
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LEqxtWsDIGQ
Trump wins America and the world loses. Trump pardons himself of all criminal convictions and claims proof the last election was stolen.
Evidence the human brain is devoid of critical thinking.