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  1. “ Let’s be very very very honest about why the majority of Kiwis voted National.”

    Because they thought that the Ardern/Hipkins government wasn’t much good.

  2. Bomber Russia and China are not the main problem. Sure they are big powers. But they are still relatively weak compared with the US and its allies. Weak, in the sense that the US still the hegemon, and R&C are only 30 years into their rise as new imperialisms.

    But to say that Russia and China are driving the geopolitical agenda is only half true. Economically, they are both growing. China is growing above 5% compared to the stagnation and recession of the West. That growth reflects their legacy as former bureaucratic worker states (the bureaucracy ruled but still needed to defend state property in the name of workers) that were forced to restore capitalism (they never really had it), because you know, the bureaucracy. Without workers in control of the plan, the economy stagnates.

    The restoration of capitalism around 1990 did not guarantee R&C escaping the hegemony of the West, but the advantages of a strong centralised state and huge national resource base made it possible. It was the power of the bureaucracy now acting as a new bureaucracy managing capitalism that turned possible into probable.

    It took Russia 10 years to resist the Western invasion. In 2000 Putin came to power and made the former soviet state apparatus serve the interests of Russian state capitalism, not those of Western or Russian oligarchs. From that point Russia was on the road to imperialism.

    But what was critical in unleashing Russia’s potential to become a great power was the foreign policy of the US and its allies to systematically engage in economic and proxy wars to provoke its breakup through regime change. This is what drove Russia to a defensive war in Ukraine.
    It was that war that forced Russia to abandon its economic ties to Europe and turn towards an alliance with China to protect its imperialist interests

    China was much more successful in it’s conversion of the former bureaucratic workers state apparatus into a capitalist state serving Chinese capitalism. Since 2000 it has ‘gone out’ internationally to become the biggest imperialist economy threatening the rule of the West. Far from declining (from 10% to 5% growth) China is expanding rapidly. The property collapse is no threat (the private investors are the loser in this collapse), nor is the Chinese population decline given China’s tech advances impact on labour productivity all over the world.

    So what is really driving geopolitics and producing crises, wars and revolutions everywhere, is the decline of the West, specifically the US as its sphere if influence dwindles against the Global South, BRICS, etc. The US would be a failed state without its dollar hegemony. Its national debt is around $34 Trillion. De-dollarization will work to fulfil Trump’s isolationism but create a critical mass for a fascist dictatorship.

    And as is always true, the ruling classes download their crises onto the backs of their imperialist rivals, neo-colonies, and ultimately the workers and most marginalised oppressed.

    So what ends up as genocide in Gaza, or in a ‘police state’ in Aotearoa, is what happens when imperialism in terminal crisis rules the world. The decline of the West and the rise of the East is merely a division of labour between the great powers over who gets the lions share of our labour while the system collapses.

    That is why fiddling around in parliament, the UN and ICJ, is being played for suckers. When capitalism is in terminal decline and cannot prevent stop its own death march, workers have to unite globally to stop it and create a new society that can rescue humanity and restore it to nature.

    1. I think the US antagonism to Russia is to stop China linking to Europe and being economically dominant. So break Russia into small countries (more ‘stans) run by US sycophants. Not necessarily drunk like Yeltsin but just as compliant.

  3. “Let’s be very very very honest about why the majority of Kiwis voted National.”

    Well, you allude to it by mentioning the number living in cars, in poverty, etc.

    Current tax rates (except top 2% of earners) were set in 2010. Someone on the average wage paid 15% of that in tax. Bracket creep. Nats gave tax cuts in 2017, Labour immediately put them up again on winning the election. And left them there. So now that person on the average wage pays 20% of that in tax. Yup, about $60 per week.

    And so when they can’t buy groceries the “kind” government did nothing. They had to overcome shame and go to charities to get a food parcel, if they hadn’t run out.

    So Labour had a history of telling the poor & middle class to get stuffed and pay more tax even though they couldn’t afford it. Nats said have some of that extra tax back. No one cared if they could pay for it or how it would be paid for – they just desperately needed to balance their budgets.

    The good news for the left will be that the tax cuts happen and the low to middle class voters forget about that 6 years of pain.

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