Post Biden’s terrible debate, post Trump’s iconic assassination attempt iconography and post Biden’s continued decline, the Republicans are on track to win by a landslide.
This reality demands focus on the madness of a second Trump regime.
10% tariffs, militarised immigration force, anti-Trans, anti-abortion, anti-climate change and that’s just domestic.
Trump will sell forcing the Ukraine to hand over territory to Putin as peace while drawing down from NATO so as to confront China.
Beijing will be looking to make someone an example to show Trump not to mess with Xi.
Iran, despite a new moderate leader may be forced to test a nuclear weapon as a warning to Trump.
Blinken says Iran’s nuclear weapon breakout time is probably down to 1-2 weeks
Israel will be unleashed from any moderation under Biden and will commit an even more impressive war crime that will make the current death toll of 186 000 Palestinians look proportionate.
A Trump victory changes everything globally with Putin, Xi and Netanyahu the winners.
We are in so much danger and we haven’t even mentioned climate change.
No, Trump will not force NATO, for NATO is the biggest customer of the USA arms industry. There are multiple deals for F22 and F35 fighters Abraham Tanks, Bradley Fighting vehicles, Himars systems, etc. (not forgetting ammunition supplies) riding on this. NATO will simply go elsewhere (Korean Tanks for example to Poland) or more than likely home made (eg, French Rafele fighter jets).
USA needs the arms industry for jobs, annual income ($238B) and market dominance.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68136840
“US weapons sales overseas rose sharply last year, reaching a record total of $238bn (£187bn), as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine stoked demand.
Trump wont give that (domestic jobs and income) up for Putin unless Russia withdraws to pre invasion borders and pays Ukraine full restitution.
Trump is not in as powerful position regarding Ukraine as he thinks he is. Arms sales have overtaken his stance
Comrade you are 1000% correct in terms of the power of the American Military Industrial Complex and its influence over the American Foreign Policy platform, however I think the Trump/Vance agenda will simply move the war spend from Europe against Putin and replace them in the Pacific to confront China
Yep they will but that is for home (as in use by the USA in their theaters of war) consumption spending and will hurt overseas income and more importantly market presence.
USA arms industry is hurt that Poland buys more Korean tanks than Abrahams (sp?), that India is buying French Rafele jet fighters instead of the F22 (India is buying those for Russia cannot supply the ordered jet fighters — another story regarding Russia’s ability to be an arms supplier)
NATO still wants those weapons so if the USA don’t or wont supply, there are any number of alternatives either NATO grown (UK,French,Belgium,Turkey,Germany, etc.) or Brazillian/Korean/Isreal/South African/Australian,etc. supplied.
USA like Russia will loose market share in a typical buying cycle (for say Jet fighters) that only come around every 15 to 20 years. Those Indian French Rafele jet fighters will not need replacing for maybe 25 years. Add to that the maintenance, upgrade and armament packages and the USA is locked out that jet fighter arms supply for a long time.
It is a trade off situation that has gone on far further down the line than when Trump last had influence.
.
You’re forgetting that Israel will get all of the weapons currently going to Ukraine when the US finally pulls the plug on the latter disaster, having been defeated by Russia.
Trump’s going to come in, pull out of Ukraine using some plausible-sounding excuse, and then Netanyahu will be given the green light and full backing to expand his war into Lebanon and, eventually, Iran. Longer term, they’ll go after China. The Military Industrial Complex will be just fine.
Climate is a massive issue. Unfortunately the world didn’t dodge a bullet, the day this orange wanker did.
The war in Ukraine will not end when the Trump administration withdraws US military support, the war will continue as a never ending insurgency, until the Russian imperialists are forced to withdraw. Which history tells us, is how all such insurgencies end.
The death toll will be enormous. 3 million Vietnamese died in the insurgency against the US imperialists. 200 thousand Afghans died in the Taliban insurgency against the US invader and its Western allies.
The other alternative, NATO forces under European command push the Russian invaders back to their border.
lolz.
“The war in Ukraine will not end when the Trump administration withdraws US military support…”
Not straight away, but it will end. And if Zelensky is smart, he’ll be on the first plane out of Kiev, hopefully somewhere warm, that has some good quality cocaine, and before he gets lynched by his countrymen.
“…the war will continue as a never ending insurgency…”
This much might be true, but I think you got the country wrong. With Ukrainians publicly marching on the streets, and now setting fire to “recruiters” vehicles, its more likely that an insurgency will happen inside the new borders of Ukraine, if not an outright civil war. And Russia won’t have to lift a finger to start it. Throw in other factors such as when German and American multinational corporations come in to strip-mine Ukraine of its Lithium resources so that the Nation can repay its war debt, that will start some serious civil anger, and the Banderovites won’t be able to blame the Russians for that. As for an insurgency in the new Russian territory’s, it won’t be an insurgency, it will be Banderovite terrorists being themselves, doing something that they have been doing for ever anyway. Nazi’s will be Nazi’s I suppose…
“Russian imperialists are forced to withdraw.”
Nope. Ukraine is now going to be a permanently smaller nation. Russia will take their mission objectives (or close enough to it), and will sit back and watch Western business interests consume what is left to the detriment of the Ukrainian people, workers and unionist alike Pat.
“The other alternative, NATO forces under European command push the Russian invaders back to their border.”
You are dreaming. With Zelensky starting to make quiet noises about a ceasefire, which the Russians are scoffing over, you are pegging a lot of hope on NATO countries continuing to support Ukraine. Germany just halved the amount of money to be sent, French voters just sent a clear message to Macron on his spending on a foreign war, and Britain is nearly bankrupt. Turkey is looking to join BRICS, so I doubt they’ll be giving any support to continuing the war, and like Hungary and Slovakia, has shown zero interest in being involved in the first place. And the USA cant even provide enough ammunition for the Ukrainians, let alone enough for a multi national armed force under a NATO banner.
This war was lost when the Western Imperialists’ Hegemony underestimated the Russians resolve in not being double crossed and lied to AGAIN.
Fantasy, reality is that the same scenario is true if NATO Ukraine succeeded in taking back the Donbass. These areas are predominantly Russian and have been fighting a civil war with Ukrainian nationalists since 2014.
Russia won’t wish to militarily occupy the rest of Ukraine, the Poles, Hungarians and others want large chunks of it back. Whoever is left in Kiev will have the problem of ultra nationalist neo Nazi Galicians, a huge disincentive to investing a cent for any purpose.
Trump has achieved in many ways what he set out to with NATO. Got the other members to start paying their share and got Europe to wake up.
So reading all the comments it seems everyone hates Trump, and everyone knows he will probably win. Every pro Ukrainian is terrified Trump will turn off project Ukraine. The real question may be what Trump will be forced to do (probably on Pentagon military advice) in the face of US lack of capability. Is it China, Israel, Russia who gets the focus? All three are not possible. Any one may be too much.
Comments are closed.