If we were to chart the last 3 polls, the graph looks like this.
The sudden change in fortune for Labour and the collapse of National are made far more clear when you see it visually and helps explain the attacks against TVNZs Political Reporter Maiki Sherman’s excellent and professional examination of the Poll results.
The Political Right are spooked that in less than 5 months they have become deeply unpopular which is surprising when you consider the atrocious policy ideas they have been ramming through in their first 100 days.
The cruelty of pushing 13 000 children into poverty so they can fund a tax break for their wealthy real estate donors shouldn’t be rewarded politically and it hasn’t been as voters clamber to pull away from what has quickly become a toxic agenda of trans national mining interests and big tobacco.
The Fast Track powers where we will give Shane Jones, Simeon Brown and Chris Bishop total power are either frighteningly naive or criminally negligent.
It should surprise no one that New Zealanders are reconsidering their election result.
This Government has been a political wedding of inconvenience with no honeymoon straight to Couples Counselling.
Labour are rising but still haven’t presented a clear vision nor courage to state the real changes New Zealand needs.
The Greens under Chloe as leader continue to gain power while the Māori Party are now cemented into a 5%+ Party who will hold their Electorate Seats.
The real danger for this Government however are the next 90 days as they push through their actual agenda. If you have been made mad by what they did in their first 100 days, wait till you see the next 90!
This is where the true venality and self interest of their agenda will come out and as Kiwis do it very hard in a deepening economic recession they will want to know why the Government is looking after their donors more than they are the people of New Zealand.
The mighty Pakeha Public Intellectual Bruce Jesson once said that, “Labour governs for Capitalism, National governs for Capitalists”.
This year’s Austerity Budget may well prove that.
First published on Waatea News.
The ugly elevation of Bennett as leader of Pharmac, graphically illustrates the coalition’s contempt for the punters who put them into government and who now need to terminate this unfortunate experiment. John Key circling Wellington should be enough warning that it’s time for them to go.
… and now this wonderful government is seriously considering curtailing the activity of the pay equity group in government. At least half the population should be very pissed about this as we all know that there should NOT be any pay gap due to gender. This is another example of the current administration being unable to consider fairness in their policy making. Great work Nats/ACT(should be no action)/ WinstonFirst voters. Hope you now realise the folly in your knee-jerk reactions toward the previous Labour/Green government. As luck would have it, this government is very unlikely to last the term due to the already obvious fault lines between the parties in the Coalition of the Mindless and the ongoing stupid behaviour by some of the participants – e.g. Winston’s latest rubbish being exposed for what it is, Seymour’s divisive posturing and Lex’s obvious inability to manage the whole circus.
For balance, I need to add the stupidity is not limited to the right – the dumfuckery of Gorilz and more recently, Julie-Ann, from the Greens has not been good for the Greens – strangely it doesn’t seem to have impacted on the party’s polling.
Labour haven’t presented a “vision” since Roger Douglas – and that was the wrong vision. They are simply Blairites who accept neoliberal economics and tinker a bit around the edges. And of course people don’t like this are “dinosaurs”. Like national/NZ 1st/act, they are good at labels and name-calling but fuck-all else.
National attacking the messenger for sounding too ‘frothy’ for just simply reporting what is happening in the polls is a sure sign of desperation.
But this i how the right operates.
They tell everyone that money doesn’t really matter and that anyone can pull themselves up by their bootlaces if they really want something..
In the same breath they are complaining that they are struggling to get ahead because they, (supposedly, got a bad inheritance.
And that sums them up really.
We can’t get ahead unless we get a good inheritance… vs..
their lecturing tone of… ‘stop complaining and put your head down , put in the huge hours, overtime and weekends, do 3 jobs if you have to…make every cent a prisoner for 30 years straight to scratch out a meagre deposit for a house….and… one day you’ll be rich like me’.
Who cares Nathan but do you believe the support for the CoC is going down rapidly.
In case anyone is wondering about The Opportunities Party, I can tell you that the party is in a rebuild phase. We need internal overhaul – constitution, party processes and a new Board. We have the new Board, and a Special General Meeting was conducted several weeks ago to get the other process of getting a new constitution and internal overhaul underway.
It is basically moving on from the internal structures that Gareth Morgan put in place when he established the party. Too much power concentrated in too few hands.
Hopefully we will be ready by the time this coalition collapses. I don’t expect it to last beyond Winston giving David Seymour the reins next year – if Bob Carr’s defamation suit doesn’t crash the Government first!
Excellent article. Points out two things: labour doesn’t have to do anything to show in at the next election, because the coalition of chaos will push voters to them, and secondly, the ideologs and tin foil hatters have had a huge wake up call and now realise they’re going to be dumped big time. The pressure will go on the Ruth Richardson’s clone for a reasonable budget that doesn’t exacerbate the poor performance. Overall, the polls to date, reinforce the current political spectrum in NZ. There’s a solid core of support for TPM of about 5% with four safe electoral seats, and about 8% for the Greens. Labour’s core support is 25%+. That’s 38% core left wing support. NZF core support is 3% and ACT has about 5% core support. National has the same 25% core support, meaning the right in NZ has a core support of 33%. The other 29% is NZ swing vote, which is large by international standards. Much of that swing vote is middle class public servants and businesses/workers dependent on them. Where has this government been most destructive? Well, the poll is no surprise. What this government failed to realise is that each and every public service redundancy affects about 20 people, friends and relatives of those hurt. In a small country like NZ, that counts, it counts a lot, far more than they allow for. Both the left and right need to take heed of this, now and in the future.
In 2 years those laid off will be back in work and as often the case happier about the job they are in . If this National government strick to the script the economy will I prove and the private sector tor will absorb the good workers and with less public servants the tax will go on Improving all our lives not on salaries
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/election-donations-national-party-raises-massive-104-million-haul-in-donations-for-election/6MD4DITFKVG63BGS5RK5HMDJHQ/
How to “buy” an election!
Not too many mum and dad investors in that lot.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/onehunga-high-school-attack-students-caught-up-in-auckland-street-clash-with-machete-wielding-man/KJEGH7OCQZHSRNHZEBIRU64Y7A/
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/bayfair-evacuated-by-police/AYBBARO5R5D7BO6PAROFY7KP4E/
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/watch-chaos-on-petrol-station-forecourt-as-police-officer-pepper-sprayed-then-doused-in-milk/6E7NBDXGVVD5BGJ6FY6A6RCW4U/
Crime has increased and out of control under this National government.
” Points out two things: labour doesn’t have to do anything to show in at the next election, because the coalition of chaos will push voters to them, and secondly, the ideologs and tin foil hatters have had a huge wake up call and now realise they’re going to be dumped big time.”
Interesting take Richard but what I think is happening globally and in NZ is what theorists call “Dealignment ” , those voters who no longer hold loyality with both Labour or National but also these voters are disillusioned, disappointed or have been ‘ shit on ‘ and don’t align with any choices on offer.
Interesting last night was watching live coverage of the young students protesting on campus by erecting tent cities. Dealignment was being voiced in the interviews with the students, that neither Trump nor Biden represented this generation .
Interesting!
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