TPU and Curia Poll is out and it highlights the hung Parliament dynamics at play and that once again, the Māori Party are Kingmakers.
Labour – 37%
National – 37%
ACT – 10%
Green – 6.7%
Māori Party – 2.9%
NZF – 2.6%
This backs up an earlier Roy Morgan Poll and makes the Māori Party and the Māori vote essential in 2023 and the drive for the Māori roll 3 months before the election could generate a new electorate in 2026.
ACT is be the winner of ‘Pure Trans Joy’.
NZFirst’s launch mid month was so underwhelming it was the first time I thought Winston won’t get over 5%. I mean, sure, no one knows what the hell Waka Kotahi is (other than it’s in the News a lot) and we are too scared of being called racist if we asked, but removing all the Māori names from Government Agencies seems very tiny in comparison to what we are facing.
The Greens should be reaching out to the Māori Party now and forging a 10 point bottom line plan to negotiate jointly with Labour for any hope of real progress.
Unfortunately the Greens are about as good at politics as Today FM was at ratings and are currently too involved with the Rainbow Parakeet attempting a Bay of Vegan Pigs coup.
If Bread and Butter politics is to mean anything, it has to tax the rich to subside the poor and the service provided, be it free dental, free public transport, or vast increase in state capacity, it has to be meaningful.
2023 comes down to who is middle NZ frightened of most? National ACT Government or Labour, Green and Māori Party Government.
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Luxon is gone i bet Nichola Willis will replace him.
National’s problems, like Labour’s go a lot deeper than who is leader.
It’s not just national it is the entire nation and our politics reflects this.
Why are National still polling so high?
Many Maori are so disconnected with the system that they do not want to fill in the cencus form or get their kids immunized so what makes you think they will vote for any of the Parties. I feel that Labour have aimed to bring Maori into the equation but the gap is getting bigger . I would be interested if others who are closer to the Maori point of view agree or have I got it wrong.
I am not sure there is one Maori point of view. They are not a hive mind. Not a criticism Trevor, just an observation.
Trevor. I didn’t want to fill in the census form either, but I did. I wearied of the authoritarian Ardern govt, and can see why others might feel the same. Also, I am dubious about government department confidentiality.
Xkeyscore Snow White ?
You are blinded by your anti left rhetoric. Illegal spying
Authoritarian government 2008-2017.
You really need to open your closed blue mind.
Everyone feels disconnected Trevor…not just our Maori brethren.
The way I see it at the moment is: I don’t want a Nat/ACT coalition, so unless National try to claim back Epsom and hopefully exit ACT from parliament, then I must vote Labour in the hope they will finally rid us of Rogernomics.
Peter Kelly – 100%
Not “Everyone” feels disconnected Katy. I don’t. I am a bit concerned at what the result of the next election may be. Otherwise I am fairly contented.
Errrrm. No party is a king maker yet because the election hasn’t been held & you can’t know the results in advance.
You’re new here aye.
Hi Sam, are you enjoying your day? 🙂
2023 comes down to who is middle NZ frightened of most? That makes it our ‘Reds Under the Bed’ moment. Our Grandparents and parents had been directly or more closely impacted by WW2 so Muldoon sucked up the morons. What fear factor will impact on those born in the 80’s and 90’s?
I wonder if the polling is underestimating National/ACT support due to a “shy conservative voter” effect.
Most of the polls seem to be conducted entirely or mostly by phone – I suspect many people are reluctant to tell a random stranger they’re voting National/ACT, as nowadays that tends to get you labelled as a racist Nazi.
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