
HOW MANY YEARS has it been, I asked myself, since I climbed these stairs? That the little Wellington cafรฉ was still in business after more than 40 years struck me as a miracle. And where better to meet the man who could still remember the events of 40 years ago โ not least because he was there, in the thick of them?
He was waiting for me at the table window, his fingers moving slowly over the smooth face of his device. Two full glasses of red wine glowed dully in the wet afternoon light. The muted transactions of Willis Street provided a sibilant soundtrack.
โThere you areโ, he said, sweeping the information from his screen and placing the device carefully on the table. โSit down, dear boy, sit down. I took the liberty of ordering a very nice Pinot Noir.โ
โPerfect,โ I replied, draping my damp jacket over the back of my chair. โI suppose that phone of yours hasnโt stopped ringing since the announcement?โ
He smiled wanly. โRinging, dear boy, ringing? Nothing rings anymore. Our devices beep, or chirrup, or play a bar or two of something, but they do not ring โ much too indiscrete.โ
โDiscretion being the word-of-the-dayโ, I replied. โAs in โdiscretionโ being the better part of valour โ a quality of which this government appears to be in short supply.โ
โEver the idealist, dear boy. You surely didnโt expect this government to tell all those lovely people from British Intelligence and the FBI, who just happened to be in town this week, that, in spite of their oh-so-discretely conveyed objections, Sparkโs deal with Huawei would be going ahead.โ
โForgive me, but I was under the impression that it was the Government of New Zealandโs job to define the parameters of its โnational securityโ โ not the FBIโs. Does the continuing economic strength and welfare of the country not fall under the heading of โnational securityโ? Or, making sure that the goodwill of the countryโs largest trading partner is retained, and maybe even enhanced? I thought that might also be a matter of โnational securityโ? Clearly, I was wrong.โ
โIf that was what you thought, dear boy, then, yes, you were wrong. Very wrong. The idea that one of the Five Eyes might sign up to a deal that could put all the other eyes at risk has absolutely no feathers, none at all. It is never going to fly.โ
โAh, yes, the Five Eyes. That vast electronic eavesdropping network dedicated to plucking all manner of classified information out of the air and sending it on, sight unseen, to the United States of America. The Five Eyes. An operation whose sole purpose is to steal other peopleโs secrets. This is the outfit thatโs demanding we jeopardise our economic and diplomatic relationship with the Chinese because the Chinese might use their state-of-the-art 5G technology to do what? Oh, yes, thatโs right โ to steal other peopleโs secrets!โ
โThe most important noun in those impassioned sentences, dear boy, was United States of America. You named the most powerful nation on the planet. Knowing when you did so that what the most powerful nation on the planet wants, the most powerful nation on the planet gets. And, right now, what it wants is to make sure the nation aiming to take its place is not in a position to weaponise โThe Internet of Thingsโ against it.โ
โYouโve been reading to many thrillers.โ
โActually, dear boy, itโs you who hasnโt been reading enough. Cyber-warfare is the greatest threat we face. Why? Because, in just a few years, the interconnectedness of the world and the breath-taking speed at which information travels will confer upon the technology organising its distribution the power to simply shut down the economic, social and political systems of its ownerโs rivals. What would you do, dear boy, if you went to the nearest ATM and discovered that your bank accounts had been deleted? That all your money had gone? Poof! Just disappeared? What if the same thing had happened to everybody elseโs bank accounts? How does a government โfixโ a problem like that?โ
โOkay โ suppose I buy into this sci-fi scenario. It still boils down to Leninโs fundamental question: โWho? Whom?โ Someoneโs got to be in the omnipotent position you describe. So, all youโre actually telling me is that the omnipotent one cannot under any circumstances be China. Which is just another way of saying that it has to be the United States.โ
โItโs not what Iโm saying, dear boy, itโs what the United States is saying.โ
โRegardless of the consequences for the economic and social welfare of New Zealanders? Do the Americans and their lickspittles from London and Canberra not understand that Beijing will exact a price for being treated so shabbily by Wellington?โ
โOf course they do. They just donโt care. Why donโt they care? Because they know that anything Beijing decides to do will take time to manifest itself in a way that impacts upon the ordinary person in the street. Anything they decide to do to punish a maverick New Zealand government, by way of contrast, will take effect almost immediately. With the Australians acting as their proxies, the Americans can make our economy scream a lot faster than the Chinese. Whatโs more, in its upper echelons, New Zealand society is so stuffed with US โassetsโ that the political destabilisation of a recalcitrant government would be over in a matter of weeks, not months.โ
โSo we just have to sit back and take it โ or the Yanks will rip our guts out?โ
My companion looked out the window for a moment, taking in the hurrying Willis Street crowds, umbrellas raised against the wind-driven rain, and sipped his wine.
โDo you know, dear boy, that it wasnโt so very far from here that Bill Sutch was apprehended. All his life he had struggled to find a way for New Zealand to strike out on its own: to cut herself free from the apron strings of Mother England; to step out from Uncle Samโs shadow. The problem he was never able to solve was, how? How does a tiny country escape the clutches of an imperial superpower? In the end, the best answer he could come up with was: by enlisting the help of another superpower. Do you remember, dear boy, how that story ended? The same delightful outfit that has been entertaining the boys and girls from MI6, and the FBI were on to poor old Bill in a flash. They put him on trial. Crushed his spirit. Within twelve months he was dead โ and so was the government he had tried to help. Not a happy ending, dear boy. And not a course of action Iโd recommend โ especially not a government as callow and inexperienced as this one.
Now it was my turn to stare out into the rain. To take in the purposeful haste of the capital cityโs busy ants.
โMore wine, dear boy, and a plate of the chefโs truly outstanding club sandwiches. In forty years they, at least, havenโt changed.


I would expect the banks to maintain off-line backups of everything, so if I went to an ATM machine and found my bank accounts deleted it would probably be somewhat inconvenient, but not the end of the world.
MIKESH Having just lately had questions of my bank over a particular aspect of my on line banking which i considered dangerous, and not receiving satisfactory answers,( the I.T. guy calls at the branch once a month) i am afraid i do not share your confidence in off line back up. Presumably you are talking of electronic back up, but as the system is theoretically disabled how do we access that?? Possibly the banks have large storage facility’s full of dusty files, but i somehow doubt it
I’m certainly no expert on these matters MIKESH, but I was intrigued by the plot-line of the recent political thriller “The President Is Missing”.
Cyber-war would appear to offer a country’s enemies some astonishing and deeply disturbing possibilities.
Do Americans have plot shields and armour. I know some just have nice hats.
If it where me I’d be the laziest spy ever. No one would suspect me.
Ah , but Chris,… you are leaving out the great Roman examples and not taking into consideration the writings of Sun Tzu ,…
Playing one off against another.
Letting your enemy’s tire themselves out and destroy one another.
Winston Peters has offered a way out. Trade with the Russians. A brilliant tactical move that extricates us from Chinese and American imperialism.
And makes us rich.
Let the Chinese rail, let the Americans rail… let the Americans wring their hands at the smaller sibling who now trades with their ‘deadly rivals’. Let little NZ salute with the middle finger England who so promptly ditched us when they joined the EEC…
America, who use us as a gawking outpost on the Pacific and China with their 5 eyes system,…China, who use free trade deals as a way to implement soft power on us and our democracy…
Take them all down by trading big time with the Russians. Embarrass them all.
You might just find, that suddenly ,… those long sought after trading deals with America might just become very lucrative indeed all of a sudden as a sweetener … meanwhile,… no promises given as we happily trade wholesale with the Ruskies…
Trading with the Russians… which on another post you made yesterday had some obviously vested interest Chinaphile object so strongly to… then taking evermore ground by developing trade links with more and more of Europe’s populations…
And China?
Well.
You trade with us on our terms without your soft power ulterior motives or we simply go elsewhere.
America?
You want a listening outpost?
Then open your trade like you used the Black Ships on the Chinese 100 years ago.
Pit em against each other. Take nothing but the best. And give the bare minimum requirements in return. Because that is how for too long both have treated us.
I suppose it is called REALPOLITIK.
Yes Please Countryboy. Make a book soon so we can all give each other a copy for next Christmas. Maybe co-opt a cartoonist.
You would be pretty cramped sitting at your spindly coffee table Chris. Such erudite conversation bunkered in.
Are you calling me fat, Janio? (Shrugs) Fair call.
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