Labour – 31.2
National – 29.6
Greens – 12
NZF – 10.6
ACT – 6.6
Māori Party – 4.4
When even the much maligned Taxpayers’ Union Poll is predicting a Labour/Green/Māori Party Government, you know the Right are in danger.
ACT continue to sink because NZF’s Alt-Right Culture War cross burning is more popular to reactionary rednecks than ACTs principled racism.
The reality is things will get worse for the right as the economy continues to melt down.
Look at these Economic numbers today from Bernard Hickey...
The survey found:
- Businesses reporting lower activity in the three months, with a net 14% down in Q3 vs a net 22% down in Q2;
- Business expectations about the next three months worsened, with a net 9% expecting improvement vs the net 18% who said in Q2 they expected improvement in Q3;
- Yet again, the actual experienced activity (-14%) was much worse than expected (+18%);
- Businesses reported shedding jobs in the last quarter, with a net 23% cutting workers, up from a net 12% cutting jobs in the June quarter;
- Business expectations for hiring in the next quarter was stuck at a net 4% expecting to hire more;
- Outcomes for jobs in Q3 (-23%) were again much worse than the +4% expected for the quarter when businesses were surveyed in Q2.
- Investment intentions for plant & machinery deteriorated to -13% vs +8% in the June quarter
- Investment intentions for buildings slumped to -20% vs -1% in the June quarter.
…National are in trouble when even the TU have them at sub 30 as the Roy Morgan Poll did.
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The main point from that poll is ACT plummeting to 6.6% and likely to drop below 5% by the next election.
Which means if National put forward a decent candidate instead of the dropkick Goldstein they could terminate ACT forever.
In fact, if National no longer give ACT a leg up, they could steal all their vote and maybe hit 32-33% by October next year.
Yes …ACT need to be gone…purged from New Zealand… for good. What a waste of space they are.
You can throw as much money as you like at bad ideas… but they will still be bad ideas.
The two 40 year old virgins running the ACT Party are overpaid, overrated, bad idea MPs….clearly clueless, demonstrating the naive fumblings that are more than likely a symbol of why they are what they are.
They need to run off somewhere…. to the other side of the world preferably, and find themselves… before it’s too late! …Perhaps Club Med Siberia
When is Labour going to implement A CGT and wealth tax? Chippy needs To unweasel himself and answer. Otherwise same ole LINO.
TPM will be ahead of ACT by the time the election rolls round and NZF may pass national as they crash and burn .
I will not disagree that the figures are not good for National but the swing has gone to NZF which is understandable as Winston has had a high profile lately. The state of the Nation is not good but the left is not streaks ahead and there are plentyvof sighs of growth in the pipeline.
Tax Payers Union has a beef with Willis and want her to cut deeper and lay off more public servants so it is not a cheerleader for National.
So the beef has the poll rigged eh
The figures are not good for National, but they are even worse given who the opposition is. Labour still has the same leadership duo when the party was roundly rejected at the 2023 election. The Greens and the current Maori Party are apparently too scary for middle New Zealand. And National has the benefit of being a first term government, which voters tend to cut some slack.
The government is not struggling against a new, revitalised Labour party, they are struggling against Hipkins’ and Sepuloni’s policy-free Labour, flanked by self-destructive parties like the Greens and The Maori Party.
Well said
“which voters tend to cut some slack.”
Not this time, too many have lost jobs and their businesses to give this awful government any slack and the thousands who have lost out on pay equity. There are far too many reasons and Labour not releasing any policies yet is not a valid argument as parties other than a government offering more tax bribes don’t release policy until closer to election time.
“and there are plentyvof sighs of growth in the pipeline.”
You’ve been saying this , like, forever, at some point you’ll be correct and the signs are showing when next years Labour government have rested back the horrible books Willis has left them.
You can’t drive the economy straight off a cliff….
Completely destroy the construction industry…
Arrogantly, completely fuck up the ferry deal of the century ,(negotiated by Labour),and then have the taxpayer wear the cost of a $640 million fine plus inferior ferries for near twice….the state that you have ” delivered”.
Accelerate unemployment at an alarming rate from 3.5 to 5.5% thus causing 207 of our brightest and best to leave
the country… every..single… fucking..
day.
Struggling to reach surplus by at least 2030 when Labour were on target to make it by mid-2027.
Shall we go on…Willis and Seymour as finance ministers have been an unmitigated disaster for New Zealand…and the great…self proclaimed… negotiator and delegator, Luxon, chose them.
They are all just a pack of lying , narcissistic fraudsters and N.Z deserves better…way better…make no mistake…they are going …going… gone!
the price..
Well, the OCR has dropped from 3% to 2.5% National will be relying on mortgage holders to benefit and spend in our economy but many like me have to wait five more months to renegotiate our loans, so that is still a while away. Also, the government needs to factor in lack of job security, so why would people spend when our jobs are not secure. They are the ones that have created the insecurity. And businesses will not hire more staff until they see more people spending. I think the government is relying too much on the Reserve bank and needs to do some lifting of our economy themselves and so far, I haven’t seen anything that is going to lift spending to the rate it needs to improve the economy. New home buyers will need to be careful as rates may have dropped but they won’t stay that low for ever they could also go back up, and some people may get caught out again if they don’t factor in increase costs to borrow.
Banks are advertising to their customers to take advantage of the lower rates and pay back capital. That’s not increasing consumer demand.
The right are gone burgers
Agree…but watch the desperate immoral dirty tactics start to ramp up… bigtime!
Yes, rangi and we need rid of that worm Seemore and his yucky bunch, but we also need Winstone gone too he is not New Zealand first he is Winstone first.
So… you’re all recent arrivals then? What planet are you from because it can’t be from this one or you’d have noticed one small detail. There is NO democratic politic in AO/NZ. None! Not a bit of it. There’s only NEOLIBERALISM and neoliberalism isn’t politics. It’s a scam, a con. It’s a mythical public entity which preaches best intentions then it fucks you when you’re not looking and worse still… it’s everywhere. It’s in every political nuance from the catastrophe that’s the rash red goose stepping National party to the grey, pasty, parasitised Labour party who’s flat battery, last gasp politic is allowing them to drop dead then teeter into the void that will be left by national for anything to fill when they drop even deader. You’re at the cemetery of AO/NZ politics feeling certain that out there amongst the grave stones and dead grass there’s some kind of living hope when there isn’t. WHAT about that don’t you get? Look. Ask yourselves? Must we vote? No, is the answer. But let’s assume that you must, then who do you vote for? Labour with rogers stink all over it? National, with every neoliberal pong one can sniff is in every natzo pore because they were infection-prime remember. There’s not one political party in AO/NZ that doesn’t have neoliberal National’s sticky, fingering fingerprints all over it.
The National Party is a crime syndicate who’ve been stealing farmer money for generations and who would’ve started out full of confidence but now realises it has truth’s tiger by the ball bag and it can’t let go.
I hope the Labour Party is less sanguine than the wretched colleagues of the unfortunate Keir Starmer, who not so long ago also enjoyed a superficial popularity. But a series of ill-judged austerity policies, and the toxic legacy of a fellow who contrived to be a boon companion not only of the disreputable Mr Epstein, but also that modern Dorian Grey, the execrable Tony Blair, has made Corbyn’s betrayer less popular than gonorrhea and The Red Death rolled into one.
Let us hope that NZ Labour is more careful with the goodwill of their constituents.
Yes, joseph the banks are the ones that benefit from these cuts it means cheaper money to borrow (for them), and hopefully more new home buyers increases their customer base, but the banks are already creaming it.
You sound like Nicoliar jay11 are you, her twin?
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