The latest TVNZ Poll fallows the Taxpayers’ Union Poll that showed a hung Parliament.
The TVNZ Poll is fascinating because it provides a shockwave to the Māori Party, ACT and Luxon’s leadership.
Māori Party:
The rise of NZF is a real threat to the Māori Party. It empowers the factions inside Labour who want a deal with Winston because they fear the extremism of the Māori Party will turn voters. If the Māori Party continue to look more interested in the drama than the mahi, it gives Chippy the reason to turn to Winston rather than the Māori Party. The option towards the Greens will be, ‘do you want a Labour/NZF Government or do you want to be the reason for another National, ACT and NZF Government.
ACT:
They will be genuinely pissed off that NZF has leapfrogged them. ACTs bigotry requires the facade of intellectualism to justify it, where as Winston can trade in ignorant bigotry which is far less sophisticated and is more popular. When you consider all the sub 5% anti-vax vote still swimming around trying to find a home, it explains why NZF is benefiting. NZF are the book burners, ACT explains why the books need to be burnt. Rednecks want to burn books, they don’t want an explanation on why those books should be burnt.
Luxon’s Leadership:
Luxon is in real danger now. Erica’s performance over NCEA has suddenly made her the Jacinda of National, the only thing saving his leadership right now is how NZF or ACT would respond to a leadership challenge and whether that might trigger an early election.
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Replace Luxon with Chris Bishop and Erica Stanford as deputy asap – and get Chris Penk a key role as well.
Pretty clear that even the desperately stupid have finally worked out that Luxon is an empty suit that just spouts out meaningless corporate speak . .
Various – Luxon’s PM days are almost OVER and there is clearly no-one suitable to replace him or his mob. How much longer can this spineless, self-absorbed, vain PM last? Claiming Netanyahu has ‘lost the plot’ is the pot calling the kettle black. So what action is Luxon taking to prevent more Palestinian murders? Seems like AGAIN NOTHING. He wants to wait until end of Sept maybe in the hope that the remainder of the Palestinian people will have been exterminated by then, so problem solved for him! Thx Chloe – you were courageous, passionate, humane and honest – a credit to us all! Brownlee needs to fall on his sword – nothing but a futile, thick bully. And Luxon $27k on lunch with Albanese, while desperate folk live on the streets, is unacceptable/unbelievable! Hang your head in shame! And while I am here, why are ‘so called Journalists’ attacking Labour re the Covid Witch Hunt. They have willingly given their answers [3 hrs from JA; 1 hr from CH] so why the hell would they want to repeat them to a ‘side show lynch mob’ and be torn to threads for saving our nation? Covid affected the whole world – NZ lost way less lives and saved mega jobs/companies – speaks for itself – back off you ignorant fools.
Very well said.
It is clear that many of the politicians’ thinking is still rooted in FPP thinking – winners and losers at all costs. Many journalists operate in the same territory. Thus we often do not get a clear picture of what is actually happening with the trend. For example the Margin of Error is constantly ignored in the discussion. If the Margin is +/- 3% then any shift within that range is not a meaningful shift as it could mean either an increase or a decrease in support for any one party. Pleas report this in future reports as the picture then becomes much more interesting.
Couldn’t have said it any better Patrize, the covid inquiry is nohting but a witch hunt and the anti vaccinators lot are a lynch mob that voted for that stupid old senile, divisive cunt winstone.
Winstone is appeasing his voter base and him and dick head seemore are fighting over the same pool so it will get nastier come election time and unfortunately Māori will once again be their political football.
So anyone who thinks our current government is crap is; “as dumb as a log?” Good to know. As it happens I think the CoCk ups are crap but we have to get past the political polarisation. People no longer talk to each other. They talk over or past each other. We are losing the art of reason and I think it is dangerous for AoNZ.
I concur with that statement.. All of it..
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