When pundit scumbags like me and Duncan Garner start predicting Luxon is going to get rolled, the establishment Media of Colin Peacock responds and Andrea Vance opines.
RNZ and the Press Gallery want to remind you their proximity to power doesn’t blind them and they prophesize politics, not media scumbags like me and Duncs.
Luxon is going to get rolled and the factions will end up using Louise Upston as the compromise candidate.
Luxon will be rolled because the next budget cuts are so deep he has to take the fall for it.
Here are is the polling for Luxon against previous Prime Ministers…
…he is doomed.
National will continue to lose the centre as NZF and ACT get more extreme.
The only curveball that could save Luxon now is if Trump demands to send Nuclear Ships and he actually stands up to him.
That curveball aside, the first TVNZ Poll that has National under 30 is the catalyst for the numbers being taken.
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Look at that right end of that graph. Adern 2.0 ?
You’re seeing things.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xp4Fym1KImY
Luxon will get rolled because the cuts aren’t deep enough.
National voters voted for substantial change, not this dithering managerialism.
If Luxon pulls off a meaningful FTA with India ….his knighthood will be…saved.
I think it is wishful thinking that he will be rolled. Any politician knows that voters hate anyone who rocks the boat because it leads to lose of confidence . and that means a down turn in the economy with job losses and business failure. 18 months is not a long time to wait as Luxon would resign if he lost the election and a new leader would step into his shoes with no blood on the floor.
A down turn in the economy and loss of jobs and business failures…. which is exactly what we have under Luxon and the CoC.
Unfortunate necessity to stop the runaway inflation caused by Labour’s poor management of the post covid comeback.
Good governance would not allow this to happen but thank you for admitting that National are and were always incapable. National governments have always had high unemployment rates, nothing to do with inflation, today is another example.
Well done Trev – you picked the ‘correct’ slogan from your Tory troll crib-sheet
https://www.oneroof.co.nz/news/tony-alexander-tariff-slap-and-rock-star-rubbish-nzs-recovery-pretty-disappointing-47195
A wiser than you explains how shit your comment is.
At least they have lots of high quality leadership option s to choose from. Labour are stuck with Hipkins.
Whom do you refer to .If that was the case he would not have got the job .
Name you high quality leadership Marco.
Bishop,Willis ,Upston and most of the other cabinet ministers would be a match for Hipkins. McNulty or Jackson would be more of a challenge.
Upston is hopelessly out of her depth, she shouldn’t even be an MP, just ask her ex husband.
And Willis well she is another well out of her depth as has been proven.
It’s too early to say. Two things matter – how long the economy stays in recession this year and what the polls say. These two things are likely to be in lockstep – they both move in a negative or positive direction for Luxon, albeit with lag effects. If we get to Q4 and the economy is shown to have been in recession for Q1-Q3 and there is any sign of the Nats going sub-30% in a reputable* poll, then watch out. There will be conversations in high places and expensive restaurants as the Nats’ masters, string-pullers and donors make their expectations clear. Trump adds economic volatility, but it would be a mistake to think this is necessarily a negative for Luxon, unless he cravenly brown-noses Trump in public and still gets kicked in the teeth anyway. Anybody who claims that they are certain about any of this has delusions of omniscience.
*reputable. i.e. not Curia/TPU because of their apparent boosterism for ACT and probably not Morgan.
None of those f wits have leadership qualities Trev if they did national as stated by Gordon W would have not selected the bald one. Chippy will eat them up, nicky no boats and her best mate bishop both tell big porkies and Upton doesn’t have the goods either.
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