Covid Delta outbreak highlights why we can’t reopen the borders

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The vaccination doesn’t stop you from spreading the virus, vaccines dampen the spread and serious of the illness – it doesn’t stop it.

It’s why I have such doubts about us opening the borders – we will get hit by this variant (and others) and it will still cause enough sickness and death to still jam the hospitals – opening borders requires bigger hospitals, bigger morgues and more cemeteries

And seeing as this virus will harm Maori, Pacifica, the ill, disabled and poor hardest, I just can’t see the morality in them paying the highest price so business and tourism can make a buck – we need a better solution than building more cemeteries.

National and ACT can go on and on about reopening the borders and the Government can cave into business interests and promise it to them, but the millisecond we get an outbreak we will be forced back into lockdown again because we don’t have the capacity for the sick and the dead.

Those communities who will the pay the highest price must be the ones who green light the opening of the borders – it should only be when Maori, Pacifica, the ill, the disabled and the poor feel they have been supported well enough that decides the reopening not business.

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35 COMMENTS

  1. How about we hold Labour and the MoH to account for their complete failure to use the past 18 months to prepare for this moment? Where are the extra ICU beds? Where are the extra Nurses?

    This lot have literally blown billions on what? We could have spent some of that money on building preparedness up rather than frittering it away on God knows what? How much did those 5 mental health beds cost?

    We can’t stay locked up forever – our economy will crash and then how do we pay for health, education, etc?

      • wrong. fortress New Zealand is the ONLY sustainable long term solution while the rest of the world turns to custard

    • They have bought icu beds and ventilators.
      The problem is they dont have the staff to staff more negative pressure rooms and the rest that goes with it.
      Nz healthcare needs a major new hospital expansion program of new hospitals on top of everything else that is failing in our current 3rd world healthcare system that has been failed for decades.

  2. The vaccine does (as far as I’ve been able to glean from statistics) help with mitigating severe illness. As you say here, you can spread the virus regardless of vaccination status. Whether or not you spread it as effectively when vaccinated isn’t yet known (you’d assume it would help though, since you have less symptoms), but you definitely can’t eliminate the virus using the current vaccines. Indeed, given that CoVID-19 has an “animal reservoir” (i.e. it can be carried and spreead by some animals), it will always remain a matter of time before it returns to humans even if sterilising (i.e. non “leaky”) vaccines are developed.
    A particular cause for concern with respect to mandating the current vaccines is potential unforeseen consequences. For example, “Marek’s Disease” in chickens was made orders of magnitudes worse by using “leaky” vaccines. What happens is that the virus continues to mutate among the vaccinated (harmlessly), becoming ever more virulent in order to defeat the vaccine. When these “variants” are exposed to unvaccinated people, they cause far greater illness than the original virus. This locks people in ever more powerful vaccines in order to literally not die. Nice for big-pharma but obviously a major cause for security concerns (e.g. maintaining a permanent vaccine supply, even in times of war/natural disasters).
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marek's_disease (specifically read the “prevention” section for details on why this happened).
    It is imo essential that “sterilising” vaccines are developed and deployed ASAP, so this nightmare scenario doesn’t happen or alternatively stop administering the current vaccines to anyone but the vulnerable (i.e. those likely to be severely affected by CoVID).

    • Good point, these inoculations seem to be palliative rather than preventative, much like morphine treats pain symptoms rather than preventing cancer.

  3. Totally agree.

    Also opening the borders, is just posturing by the industry to try to re-drive the lucrative immigration Ponzi where exploitation, people trafficking and Meth are doing great guns with liberal borders and out sourced stupid visas making many in NZ much poorer and homeless and our health system waiting lists out of control.

    The tourism and construction industry in particular are so deluded that they can’t seem to comprehend that Covid community outbreaks (as well as death) means more lockdowns, which mean even more delays and costs to their industries!

    Save the stupid from themselves.

    Labour government did not create Covid and they so far they have been doing a better job than most, keeping it out of NZ.

    The people braying for open borders, mostly don’t vote Labour. The people who do vote labour are the ones who think the state has over stepped it’s boundary on telling people what to think and say with the anti freedom of speech, but Love Labour on their risk adverse Covid stance.

  4. …’it should only be when Maori, Pacifica, the ill, the disabled and the poor feel they have been supported well enough that decides the reopening not business’…

    Good stuff! Sick and tired of these well to do tits who have the best of diets, the best of medical care and the warmest of houses having such an inordinate amount of say over the rest of us. They can bloody well learn to enjoy taking the back seats when it comes to this. Preferably with a mask on to stifle their selfish wants.

  5. Yep, sounds good as in idea. Sorta like Socialism.
    Except that in practice it doesn’t work.

    Somebody has to make some money to pay for all this.
    Printing money is not the answer. Unless you want outrageous house prices and rampant inflation

    • The printed money does not pay “for all this”. It pays for the inflated salaries of the paper shufflers and the beaurocrats. Inflation is not rampant. Outrageous house prices and rents are, however, and that is something for this LINO government to take care of. CGT. Tax property speculation and empty houses. Curb immigration. We have added a million people – 20% – in the last ten years. This BS s not sustainable.

  6. Absolutely. The fact this happened mere days after the govt said nz would be ready for safe international travel is kinda hilarious to an extent.

    the problem labour now has is that keeping covid out was all they have going to them, Jacinda is so connected to this that if delta becomes anything like Australia, she’s going to be the one everyone blames Cos she’s front and center and a “throw the bums out” mentality in middle nz will kick in. Doesn’t matter that national would be worse it only matters to Joe public that it happened on Labours watch.

    Has any country successfully stopped delta?

    The people are ok and only kinda grumpy when they think it’s a three day lockdown oh boy… And whose dumb idea was the Aussie bubble…. They should start putting hipkins on and keep Ardern away from the daily briefings if she’s front and center and people turn on her well … I don’t see Grant winning an election

    Goodbye pork pie. The problem with a massive caucus is if you go down in the polls you’ve got a lot of ambitious climbers ready to knife you.

  7. Interesting to read the spin on the success story the UK now is, more or less got over it, adapted, learnied to live with Covid and have moved on, thank you very much. The latest promo is from business guru Andrew Barnes in the Herald says as much, where he opines NZ is looking progressively more backward.

    Andrew Barnes: What it’s like living with Delta in the UK
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12465909

    And yet, an article in the Daily Mail suggests quite the opposite, and that it is now worse in the UK than this time last year, (lockdowns then vs high vaccination rates now), and getting worse.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9901925/Britain-records-170-Covid-fatalities-deadliest-daily-toll-MARCH.html

    What seems consistent is winter is a prime breeding time for this virus and the UK is approaching winter.

    As per Martin’s belief, I’m not entirely sure we can abandon strict border controls anytime in the foreseeable future, vaccinated or not!

  8. Also somewhat weird is the new mask mandates that the PM has forced on everyone whenever we go outside. They must know full well that the sort of masks most people have, have a relatively negligible effect on spreading/protecting against the virus – <2% after 100 days according to the US CDC's research:
    https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7010e3.htm?s_cid=mm7010e3_w
    They will probably be even less effective for the Delta Variant, but that data isn't out yet as far as I am aware. I'm guessing the masks are being used (globally) more as a sort of sign of solidarity that you're taking the pandemic seriously rather than genuinely trying to attenuate the spread to a significant extent(?). Anyone know?

  9. Well, the Hoskings and National/ACT’s of this world thought, nagged, bitched and moaned we could go back to normal and have a trans Tasman bubble. Because we just want to be normal. Yet with low vaccination rates in both countries it was stupid.

    Well we did it. Where are these critics now?

    • @Xray Where are these critics now?

      Still whining about not opening the borders while claiming it is all Jacinda’s fault that the travel bubble was opened and we need to go into lockdown. Logic isn’t a strong point.

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