just happy to get you all thinking and get the discussion going .You are most welcome to join in with relivant comments

shale oil is very expensive to recover so the price needs to be high to make it worthwhile

Palestinians… from Gaza to the West Bank, they should be mortified.

Americans. Sure, to a point, right up to when special interest lobby groups say no, lets be realistic, the construction, and agriculture sectors of the American economy rely so heavily on undocumented workers that the mass deportation threats will be theatrical rather than effective, and big pharma will do their best to destroy Trump and co. if they try to criminalise birth control, got to think about those sweet, sweet profits yo! But at the end of the day, this is the Government that they voted in, for better or worse, and it is up to their own citizens to protest and pressure its Government. So meh,who cares who runs the biggest national ponzi scheme disguised as a nation. They brought it upon themselves.

Now Russia. My partner is half Russian, speaks and reads the language fluently, so I get to hear the other side of the story, (note to Ben Morgan, you should try a little more research, relying on ISW reports makes everything you write sound like wishful thinking), and surprisingly, the Russians terms for peace have been EXACTLY the same for nearly three years, unlike NATOs version of events, where imaginary “redlines” are crossed and then attributed to Putin. So what can Trump and his loyalist posse hope to achieve? A ceasefire? No chance, a ceasefire is a no go for the Russians. So the fanciful ideas that have ben floated by such publications as the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and others, that include such idiocy like having British soldiers as “peacekeepers” along the current line of contact, are stupid beyond belief. I mean what part of NO NATO does NATO not understand? So Trump will be told “Nyet, cyka blyat”, at which he will be slightly miffed, opt for regime change in Kyev, swapping out Zelenskii, for Zaluzhny (possibly), and the war will continue to be funded by Washington and the EU for another 6-12 months, until there are tragically, no more Ukrainians left to kill.

Iran. No one but Israel wants a war with Iran, when confronted with the reality of $200-250 a barrel oil prices, Trumps War Hawks will reconsider pretty quick the idea of open warfare with Iran. There is NOTHING the yanks (across the political spectrum) hate more that high oil prices. Which will in turn affect commodities and food prices, even Trump knows that is political suicide.

And China, America knows it is not ready for open war with China, but a trade war? Yeah why not.Its not like Biden reversed anything Trump did in his term, so an escalation is likely I imagine, it’ll hurt the U.S. more than China, but hey, watching capitalism slowly wither and die is kind of therapeutic. So no, I doubt China is scared of a Trump presidency.

What is more worrying, is how will our collection of short term thinking idiots that were elected in this government react to these dynamic situations? I seriously doubt that Luxon and co will be able to make any smart decisions that involve any deep and strategic thinking.

Why? haven’t you had enough?

Pass the Koolaid.

Last time I voted in NZ I had to be registerred on the electoral roll.

Yeah, could be.

Aww, Jonzie ya Safa cunt, you talk some shit.

So, same as Israel, aided by the IDF who can’t win a battle on their own?