John Tamihere, Willie Jackson, Iain Lees-Galloway and Chloe Swarbrick – the 4 lynchpins to a new Government
The overhangs that will be generated this election will increase the Parliament from 120 up to 132 this election.
That means no one can get to 51% without 4 parties.
If 51% = Labour + Green + TPM + TOP there will be 4 lynchpins.
John Tamihere – Greens + TOP will need him to be the united negotiating front to get real concessions out of Labour.
Willie Jackson – Leads the largest faction inside Labour, his relationship with JT will be crucial to making TPM and Labour work.
Iain Lees-Galloway – Former Labour Minister and current TOP General Manger has relationships with Labour that are deep and will be required to make the relationship work.
Chloe – She will be essential in convincing the rest of the Greens that a united negotiating front led by JT is the best way to get what they want out of Labour.
Winning the election is the first thing, negotiating the next Government is the second thing.
Ending a terrible right wing Government is one thing, replacing it with policy that is meaningful is a totally other thing.
National exists to stop Labour from winning, Labour exists to stop the Left from winning.
It is not enough to simply swap management teams this election.
It can’t just be ‘Labour will be slightly less cruel than National”.
It has to be meaningful policy change that Labour don’t want to touch, and the only way that can be overcome is with those 4 Lynch pins.
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Or, just bear with me here, what if Labour and National become partners? I know it sounds unthinkable but bear with.
They both hate their traditional “cell mates” what did Luxon call his? Something and numpties?
The Greens are always treated appealingly by labour once the election is won and the Maori party are all but ignored.
They both hate MMP.
So one election partner fairly equally balanced so you don’t have to do any of that legislation stuff because you can always blame the other for not having the support.
Sit back and take the money
And there’s always your salary on top.
No, will not work – 4 different parties – to form Government? 3 different parties is a stretch
What makes you think there will be a 12 seat overhang?
7 seats for TPM and 5 for National?
John Tamihere, Willie Jackson, Iain Lees-Galloway and Chloe Swarbrick – the 4 lynchpins to a new Government
For the above scenario to ever come about, the Labour Party must put everything they can onto the bargaining table.
Qiulae Wong has said she will negotiate with the party with the biggest vote first.
On Current polling, the Labour Party are the party most likely to get the most votes at the election.
The polls indicate Labour 30.5% compared to National on 29.4%
As the first negotiating party, the Labour Party need to offer Qiulae Wong the position of Deputy Prime Minister and/or Foreign Minister. Plus 3 TOP MPs seats in the Cabinet.
If they don’t, National sure will.
Labour will need to announce some winning policies to make a JT Willie govt scenario plausible.
A tax cut for all.
NO GST ON FOOD!
Martyn points out that the overhangs this election will increase Parliament from 120 to 132 seats which means for the Left, John Tamihere, Willie Jackson, Ian Lees-Galloway and Chloe Swarbrick will all be necessary negotiators. And yes it HAS to be a meaningful change from the Left – with fair policies for all: A new and better taxation system; less wasted public funds; a new supermarket to challenge the current duopoly; no unnecessary handouts to landlords/property developers; the shut-down of tax loopholes; reversal/review of unfair and badly researched Bills; re-evaluation of the Community Services card; more social housing; increase in Union membership; revamp of the Education ‘mess’; drones to monitor our large coastline and to sell; solar and wind farms; hydro – not LNG; distant NZ from the toxic USA. I could go on forever as currently there is so much now wrong. NZ needs to become a bit selfish and start to look after its lovely country and its people. We are small and clever enough to build much of our own infrastructure and industries. Step up Left and just get on with it for all our sakes.