NZF Speech of the Nation proves it – We have to be honest about climate change and why a revolution at the ballot box is required

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Say hello to John Minto for us Winnie

It is clear from NZ First’s speech and ACTs activism that both Political Parties intend to pull out of the Paris Agreement as the Planet crosses the biosphere’s capacity to continue carbon extractive capitalism.

Despite Winston’s numerous lies about climate change…

Fact checking Winston Peters on climate accord

…the game is now to highlight our tiny global emission (mostly caused by Dairy Farming) and state us cutting back on emissions won’t make any difference.

It’s a bullshit argument.

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The Corporate Farming Lobby who have as much power as the Real Estate Pimps over the new Government tell us to trust them on climate change, but this is the lobby who have lied and manipulated and cheated any attempts for quarter of a century now to stop any real change and as NZ faces a $26billion climate fine for failing to reach our Paris obligations, the Insurance industry eyes up the reality that Climate Change will cost us a Trillion each year…

Lloyd’s new data tool highlights vulnerability of the global economy to extreme weather

Lloyd’s, the world’s leading marketplace for insurance and reinsurance, today launched a systemic risk scenario that models the global economic impact of extreme weather events leading to food and water shocks, estimating the loss to be $5trn over a five year period.

The scenario explores how a hypothetical but plausible increase in extreme weather events, linked to climate change, could lead to breadbasket crop* failures and significant global food and water shortages. As the event plays out, societies around the world could see widespread disruption, damage and economic loss, promoting major shifts in geopolitical alignments and consumer behaviours.

The first in a series of nine systemic risk scenarios, this research has been produced by Lloyd’s Futureset and in partnership with the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies, to help risk owners better understand their exposure to critical threats such as extreme weather, and role of risk mitigation and insurance protection to build their resilience.

It is supported by a cutting-edge data tool that provides businesses, governments, and insurers with a data-driven, financial impact assessment of the most significant global threats facing society today consider the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) impact of extreme events across 107 countries and at three levels of severity (major, severe, and extreme).

In addition to the global scenario, the data tool includes regional analysis which illustrates the potential economic losses should events be focused on a particular region. The recovery time for individual countries or regions depends on the structure of their economy, exposure levels and resilience.

As an example, if an extreme event such as this was centred on Greater China, the area which would feel the largest financial impact, it could lead to economic losses of $4.6 trillion over five years. This is followed closely by Asia Pacific at $4.5 trillion. As a percentage share of GDP, the Caribbean would be impacted the most by an event focused on its shores, losing 19% of GDP across the five-year period.

…the Corporate Farmers and their political representatives keep lying to you about how extreme climate change is and the scale of damage it will wrought.

We are in denial about the changes that are coming.

We are in denial about the need to adapt.

We are in denial about the new realities.

Look at this heat map…

…We. Are. So. Fucked.

As Kiwis we are a very laid back culture and we are fastidious about ignoring things that might lead to conflict, until conflict is upon us and then we are unrelenting in fighting for a righteous egalitarianism.

I believe we are at a turning point on climate change and we need to start being honest that nothing we can do now will stop what is coming.

For many of us, climate change has been a theoretical argument about something that might happen in the distant future.

It is no longer that.

It is now a present on going risk factor that poses an existential threat to us as a species and it is here now.

I’ve been following the IPCC reports on climate change from the beginning, and the criticism made against the IPCC was that due to its strict need for only unilaterally agreed science to make the official report, it was always underplaying the urgency and severity of the climate crisis.

There was always a section in each report where the science was presented that wasn’t universally accepted but included to show the reach and scope of debate.

Increasingly over the years, the worst case scenarios in the IPCC are playing out in real time.

The scientists were wrong, but only in their optimism.

You understand that each year that passes now will get worse or remain as starkly bad as they are now right?

You get that it doesn’t go back to normal after this right?

The extreme weather will get worse and worse.

More extreme than these extremes now.

Consider the baseline extreme current normal.

Sure the war in Ukraine is hurting food prices, but that’s damage on the baseline reality of a mega drought that has interrupted the agricultural calendar of major food producers globally!

The radical adaptation required to get us ready for what’s coming will splinter the political spectrum whether we like it or not.

NZ has to radically become more self sufficient.

We need a basic pharmaceutical industry.

Engineering industry.

Green Power.

The supply side shocks caused by Covid and war are not going away, and they are being compounded by catastrophic climate change.

Radical adaptation and communal community resourcing alongside a Big State approach to lynchpin infrastructure for basic self-reliance as an Island country facing enormous economic shockwaves is the only means to build the muscle mass to respond to the ever intensifying external disruption of late stage capitalism.

The need to increase military spending to 5% alongside the new costs for this infrastructure must be funded via new taxes aimed at corporations and banks.

A financial transaction tax and windfall profit tax would take the yoke of taxation off working people and place it upon the shoulders of the wealthy.

National and ACT  see mass immigration as a means to create fake growth at a time when we should be focused on de-growth.

Climate Crisis is here and adaptation is now.

We need to start rethinking Isolationism as a strength and Hyper-Regional Think Big as Economic Sovereignty.

The geopolitical shock waves are only getting more intense from here on in.

As you look around at the devastation these extreme weather events have caused, doesn’t being carbon neutral by 2050 look pathetic now?

We need a far larger vision than Luxon can produce, we need a far larger vision than the Left are even currently thinking.

We are beyond the tipping posts now: Greenland ice melt, the entire West Antarctic ice sheet, the Atlantic current failure, the changing of the jet stream, total biodiversity collapse, FFS what actually needs to happen before you sleepy Hobbits wake up!

I remember when the idea of instability in West Antarctica was a ‘never’ prospect, now in barely decades that has been turned on its head…

Meltdown of West Antarctic Ice Sheet unavoidable, study says

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet will continue to melt this century regardless of how much the world slashes planet-warming emissions, research from the British Antarctic Survey has found, locking in further sea level rise over the coming decades.

The study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change on Monday, found no matter the degree of warming this century, the melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet will speed up as warmer water in the Amundsen Sea erodes ice shelves bordering the ocean.

…the melt will happen regardless, no matter what we do now meaning we are fucked!

Just 100 companies are responsible for 71% of global emissions that are causing the climate crisis, and big oil KNEW in the 1990s that they were creating catastrophic climate change.

The comparisons between how Big Tobacco lied and manipulated the science linking smoking to cancer is as audacious as Big Oil has lied and manipulated the science linking CO2 to global warming.

We should be collectively suing Big Oil now and using the payouts to fund the urgent Green transition away from fossil fuels.

It is outrageous that our Government has not led this fight and instead capitulate to the polluters rather than challenge them. Indigenous people have been at the forefront of the climate crisis battle and have been the frontline between corporate polluting greed and sustainable habitats.

You can see why the State illegally spied on Māori Iwi fighting big oil in this country.

We need a vastly different vision for this country now, and it will require a revolution at the Ballot Box.

A specific plan to get elected with a radical agenda, force other Parties of the Left to agree, a 100 day plan to force it through and a strategy to hold the changes in place.

The next 18 months will start seeing climate change events beyond the ability to ignore and will terrify the electorate.

We as a movement must have a plan and an ability to articulate that or we perish as a movement, as a people and as a country.

This is now an existential threat to our species playing out in real time.

The time for an eco revolution is now.

 

 

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14 COMMENTS

  1. Only capitalism can save us. We need tech to carbon capture. No one is willing to give up their lifestyle and india and china wont stop their middle class lifestyle growth either.

    • China is the biggest spender on clean energy in the world .Yes they still use coal because they cant build clean energy fast enough .But at least they see there is a problem unlike the USA who are hell bent on polluting and destroying at will which is the direction we are now pivoting to .

    • The irony is MIB that you will have no choice but to ‘ give up your lifestyle’. Already NZ’s life sustaining resorces are threatened ….water aquifers emptying, insufficient clean water for everyone, depleted soils, grains that can’t grow for your bread.. and I’m pretty sure you can’t eat Winnie’s coal and oil.
      So go ahead and swallow Winnie’s speech and science inferences that NZ has a special glass dome over it whereby we’re not affected by the sea and atmospheric currents of the globe.

  2. The government responded today by giving the Ali smelter another $35 million grant so they can carry on polluting .After all the demand for Ali hats world wide is on the rise .I am suprised that Winston has not directed Dr Pork to set up a factory to make them using his 1 billion slush fund .

  3. Whatever Winston once was, he’s now like an old family dog, the stray that snuck in the back door all those years ago and never left. There as the kids grew up, each of whom regarded him with some affection, but since they’ve moved on, now, when he’s not straying around the neighborhood, he either sits in the corner and farts or dribbles on the carpet as he wanders to his bowl.
    Once capable of terrorizing all the dogs on the block now his gums have gone soft, so he prefers liquid food, and for each tooth he loses the scent of his breath is magnified. Yet still, as with all old dogs, and as much as we will miss him, one day the kind thing to do will be to put him out of our misery.

    • YEP OWN GOAL THERE just look at the billions water care has to borrow on the open market now .Water will cost more than petrol per liter very soon .Pakeha are now trying to steal all the water to sell it to over seas investors that Luxon had a big feed with a couple of weeks ago .

  4. The reality is climate change first and last. This govt says the right thing and does nothing — a wise approach on that level. Not doing anything to mitigate it is one thing, but not preparing for it is another thing. Pretending the post WW ll comfort will go on forever is a crime by our govt. I’m sure the focus groups would support it but they’re wrong too.

    The last moments of the insanity of Chris Trotter, he refused to confront climate change because he thought it was beyond the ‘art of the possible’. Missed the entire point, dealing with reality, for a way of looking at things.

    The beauty of ‘T’Cause’, as my looney Lancashire g.grandfather called it, is it’s always about reality first.

    He scooted past the first Labour Govt with no favour nor fear. Continued to say his same old thing till his death in 1950, when the soft-soaper Walter Nash gave his funeral oration in the Wellington townhall. He was right, the ’35 compromising Labour Party was wrong.

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