Every day that passes where Iran doesn’t attack Israel for the assassination of the Hamas leader in Tehran is a day closer to them possibly successfully testing a nuclear weapon.
The US Intelligence argues it could take the Iranians 2 weeks to successfully make 5 bombs (one to test, 4 to hide).
Israel has always stated they would respond to a successful Iranian nuclear test with a deep strike against the facilities required to build them.
These facilities are near densely populated areas, which if attacked are likely to see a lot of civilian casualties.
An attack like that by Israel would be a declaration of war.
My suspicion is the rest of the world would want nothing to do with an Israeli military strike and even America would step back leaving Israel to make the attempt on their own.
The attack on Iranian nuclear facilities will be half as successful as it needs to be and will allow Iran to respond in self defence which will see Hamas, Hezbollah, Syrian forces and Iraq forces to rise up.
If the Houthi have a hyper-sonic missile, let’s see how an aircraft carrier stands up to one of those.
If this triggers, expect Putin to commit some terrible atrocity 24 hours later.
I would not be surprised if Putin uses chemical or biological weapons against Ukrainian forces on Russian territory.
He can’t use a tactical nuclear strike on Russian soil, that’s too masochistic even for Putin, and he is reserving that power strategically against NATO, but using weapons of terror like biological or chemical on advancing Ukrainian forces on Russian sovereign land is legally defensible and the exact sort of sociopathic violence Putin needs to inspire to force Zelensky to back down.
I argued that Zelensky would take the next gen weaponry we had sent him to invade Russia because he knows that if Trump wins in November, Trump will cut support, so he has to leverage up.
Trump’s possible victory is forcing everyone to gamble.
Meanwhile the horror of what is being done to the Palestinians is an open wound war crime.
Over 40 000 dead + 10 000 bodies trapped under the rubble + 180 000 secondary deaths.
We are talking almost 200 000 dead plus over 90 000 wounded and thousands detained in torture camps where the IDF are ritualistically raping prisoners in front of other prisoners as a deeply damaged means of installing terror in the oppressed population.
What Israel is doing is an obscenity to everything that should matter to Western values.
China is flexing against the Phillipines and if Iran and Russia play up, it would be of advantage to China to assert its dominance of these physical spaces before a possible Trump election.
Things are far less stable globally than we are taking for granted, how NZ navigates these geopolitical vortexes will take more than strapping ourselves onto America’s next foreign adventure.
Putin using chemical weapons inside of Russia, sounds like a false flag in the making given Russia’s dominant position in their SMO. Perhaps this is why Ukraine invaded Russia. Otherwise, Iran testing nuclear weapons. What bullshyt, why, because the USA would never have ended their joint no-nukes agreement with Iran if Iran was in any way, shape or form was looking to go down the nuclear weapon path. This right here is the true tale of this story because it is well known that Iran’s religious leaders are vehemently against nukes.
As for Trump potentially cutting support to Ukraine, lets not forget that he supplied Ukraine with weaponry that the Obama admin before him deemed to dangerous to give them so its hardly a given that he will stop driving this conflict.
And Israel, Israel has exposed Western values for what they are – corrupted – to be a nice and neutral tone to them. We, the West, are the bad guys to put it bluntly.
AO, correct Trump armed Ukraine and the alphabet soup jihadis in Syria
Iran is a military superpower it has the capacity to defend itself. Goodluck if you believe that apartheid Israel or the US can take out Iranian nuclear facilities deep underground in their mountains. The Iranians possess the most lethal missiles to date penetrating US military bases in Iraq and recently hitting Israel most defended military airbase “Nevatim” https://www.youtube.com/shorts/h-Op26X408M and other military sites.
Iranian ally Hezbollah to the north of the apartheid state is destroying Kibbutz settlements in Galilee setting it on fire with 100,000 leaving the apartheid state neva to return and military installation with cheap but effect systems that the iron dome is defenseless against. Hezbollah has also released a video of their underground tunnel facilities that rivals Hamas to the east https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QulPp_Z4j3M&list=WL&index=1&pp=gAQBiAQB
The US is aware of global energy catastrophe if Iran is attacked with Saudi Arabia oil facilities Qatar ,Emirate, Bahrain, and any american military facilities in the region will be destroyed. The global shock will cause irreparable harm for decades. We are entering a phase of our global history that can be solely blamed on the west. The Iranians are rational players and don’t need to attack Israel realizing it is a trap they’re not suicidal a western characterization of people that they don’t like.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bL6n_rvgOns&pp=ygUSSXJhbiBtaWlzaWxlIGNpdHkg
If this triggers, expect Putin to commit some terrible atrocity 24 hours later.
“I would not be surprised if Putin uses chemical or biological weapons against Ukrainian forces on Russian territory.
He can’t use a tactical nuclear strike on Russian soil, that’s too masochistic even for Putin, and he is reserving that power strategically against NATO, but using weapons of terror like biological or chemical on advancing Ukrainian forces on Russian sovereign land is legally defensible and the exact sort of sociopathic violence Putin needs to inspire to force Zelensky to back down.”
Pulling shit from your arse again, Martyn? You offer no link for that excretion.
Why shouldn’t Iran not have Nukes? Notice how the US wouldn’t dare to attack North Korea, WHY, because they have Nukes? Israel has a number of undeclared Nukes that were illegally obtained & which they deny the existence of having & they have never declared or subjected themselves to the scrutiny of the Nuclear monitoring authorities as is required, but they all insist that Iran must be subject to a Nuclear watchdog to look into Iran’s Nuclear ambition’s! The US want to totally destroy Iran, they have tried to do this ever since the Puppet they installed, the Shah of Iran was deposed, America has meddled in the Middle East for decades to control the Oil Trade, they Regime changed the Democratically elected Govt of Mossedegh who nationalised the Oil Industry because British Petroleum was pillaging & looting the Nation’s Oil resources with none of the proceeds going to Iran so he had to go, that is why Iran is hated & why Russia is hated, they are both Sovereign Nations who cherish their Independence & reject British & American Imperialism & Colonialism & the exploitation & theft of their OWN Oil & Gas Resources for the benefit of their People, not to enrich a bunch of thieving Elites in the UK, US & Europe. But Iran doesn’t need nukes, they have thousands of Ballistic missiles & Hypersonics, which only Russia, China & incredibly the Houthis of Yemen have, something America & every other Western Nation doesn’t have! Iran is exercising Strategic Patience, it will respond in a Time & Place of its choosing to respond to the cowardly attacks & assassinations committed by the Genocidal Zionist Nation of Israel & that waiting is driving the Zionists crazy, waiting, not knowing when the attack will happen & its costing the American Navy billions have all those Carrier Strike groups out in the Mediterranean burning Fuel, Food & fraying the nerves of Military Men on constant Alert for a impending attack, Iran is being clever & Hezbollah is being used to drain Israel & the US of weaponry & expensive million dollar missiles by firing cheap drones, its a War of nerves for the US & Israel?