The Lancet says Palestinian death toll most likely to be 186,000 or more killed by Israel’s war on Gaza

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A report in the UK medical journal The Lancet, has estimated the Palestinian death toll in Israel’s war on Gaza is likely to be 186,000 or more.

The Gaza Ministry of Health count of bodies brought to hospitals or medical facilities stands at over 38,000 – mostly women and children. However the Lancet report is clear that this is a hopeless underestimate which does not, for example, take account of bodies buried in the rubble – estimated by some at 10,000 or more. The report goes on to say:

Armed conflicts have indirect health implications beyond the direct harm from violence. Even if the conflict ends immediately, there will continue to be many indirect deaths in the coming months and years from causes such as reproductive, communicable, and non-communicable diseases. The total death toll is expected to be large given the intensity of this conflict; destroyed health-care infrastructure; severe shortages of food, water, and shelter; the population’s inability to flee to safe places; and the loss of funding to UNRWA, one of the very few humanitarian organisations still active in the Gaza Strip.

In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death 

to the 37 396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186 000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza. Using the 2022 Gaza Strip population estimate of 2 375 259, this would translate to 7·9% of the total population in the Gaza Strip.

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The New Zealand government continues its hypocrisy – fulsome condemnation of Russia and support for Ukraine alongside refusal to condemn Israel and miserly, grudging support for the Palestinian victims of Israeli genocide.

We will again be demanding our government hold Israel to account for its war crimes as we have done with Russia.

The details of the protests this weekend are below:

North Island
Opononi – Gathering for Palestine
Sunday 14 July
1:30 pm
Outside the Four Square, Opononi

Kerikeri
Every first Saturday of the month
Not this Saturday

Whangarei – Rally
Saturday 13 July
10:00 am
Whangārei Town Basin in front of Hundertwasser Building

Auckland Picket – British Consulate
Friday 12 July
12:00 noon
151 Queen Street, Auckland CBD

Waiheke Island Market – Auckland
Every Saturday
8:00 am – 1:00 pm
Ostend Market, Waiheke Island

Auckland –Banners around Tamaki Makaurau
Saturday 13 July
10:00 – 1:00 pm
Cnr Stoddard and May Roads, Mt Roskill
Text Steve for details (dependant on wind speeds)

Auckland – Rally
Sunday 14 July
2:00 pm
Te Komititanga – Britomart Square

Tauranga – Rally
Sunday 14 July
11:00 am -12: 00 noon
In front of Woolworths – SH 2 – Bethlehem Rd

Hamilton – Rally
Saturday 13 July
1:00 pm
Civic Square, Hamilton

Cambridge Rally
Saturday 13 July
11:00 am
Cambridge Town Hall

Rotorua – Rally
Thursday 11 July
4:00 pm
Rotorua Lakes Council, Haupapa Street (Sir Howard Morrison Corner)

Napier – Rally
Saturday 13 July
11:30 am
Marine Parade Soundshell Roundabout

Hastings – Rally
Sunday 14 July
2:00 pm
Hastings Town Clock – Hastings CBD

Palmerston North – Rally
Sunday 14 July
2:00 pm
The Square, Palmerston North

New Plymouth – Flags on the Bridge
Friday 12 July
4:30 pm
Paynters Ave Bridge
Check the local Facebook page to see if this is on this week.

New Plymouth – Rally
Saturday 13 July
1:00 pm
The Landing, 1 Ariki Street, New Plymouth

Whanganui – Rally
Saturday 13 July
11:00 am
Riverside Market, Whanganui

Carterton
Every Tuesday
12:00 midday
Memorial Square.

Martinborough – Gathering for Palestine
Every Wednesday
11:00 am
The square at the top of Kitchener St, Martinborough

Masterton
Every Sunday
9:30 am
Town Hall Lawn

Featherston
Every Saturday
11:00 am
The Squircle (opposite the op shop).

Wellington – Flags (by the Falastin Tea Collective)
Every Friday
7:15 – 8:15 am
Hill Street bridge Overbridge, Wellington

Wellington – Rally (by the Falastin Tea Collective)
Saturday 13 July
1:00 pm
The corner of Victoria Street and Vivian street Please see Instagram account @falastin_tea_collective for updates.

South Island
Nelson – Rally
Saturday 13 July
10:30 am
1903 Square, Upper Trafalgar Street, Nelson

Blenheim
Saturday 13 July
11:00 am
Blenheim Railway Station

Christchurch – Rally
Saturday 13 July
1:00 pm
Bridge of Remembrance, Cashel Street, Christchurch

Timaru – Market Stall
Not this week

Dunedin – Rally
Saturday 13 July
1:00 pm
Otago Museum Reserve to the Octagon, Dunedin

Queenstown
No Rally this weekend

Invercargill – Rally
Sunday 14 July
1:00 pm
Wachner place Invercargill

21 COMMENTS

  1. Yes, the 38,000 is a wild underestimate. When you destroy the infrastructure of a place in the way that has happened to Gaza, the excess mortality above what would have been the case in a ‘normal’ year will be absolutely horrendous. The 186,000 could even be a lowball estimate. What is happening in Gaza is genocide pure and simple.

  2. Neva eva believe apartheid Israel the zionist state wanted the “Hamas raped and beheaded babies” BS to stick justifying their murderous ways. This country & its settler society is an enigma that will serve as case studies for future references of human deviateness and deprivation .

  3. Not a genocide. Just an ugly war with civilians caught in the middle, and it is Hamas’ fault. If you support Gaza and West Bank self determination and eventually an independent state, then you need to Free Gaza from Hamas and eliminate jihadist ideology.

      • No, not correct. By the way what does our resident statistician have to say about this estimate? Are 183,000 militants?

        • Wheel – No, but a bit too many are willing and able to hold hostages, and in some cases torture them.

    • The Palestinian people will never be ‘freed’ from refusing to be enslaved by zionist invaders who have no business anywhere on their land.

    • Sure Mark. The ongoing outright theft of land by ‘Israelis’ has nothing to do with it whatsoever. Give me a f’ing break.

    • Its a genocide, the civilians, the Palestinians, are not being caught in the middle, they are the target and Hamas is the excuse to target them. The barrier to self-determination, independence and freedom is the occupier and all of its supporters including the NZ govt, the problem is not and never is, the occupied.

  4. 160k is just so ridiculous, get a grip. More lies from Hamas and pro-islamic fascist supporters.

  5. It doesn’t matter the number. It’s not a contest. No one in their right mind can support this continuing.

    Whatever appalling acts Hamas committed, and I no doubt that they did, you cannot justify what is going on day by day in Gaza and you cannot claim that Israel have been “the good guy”. They have no moral high ground to stand on here, if it ever existed.

    Netenyahu has a tiger by the tail and can’t let go. All that has happened in that another generation of Hamas have been recruited. You can’t kill ideas with bullets no matter how hard you try.

    Celebrating when they reach 200k Zelda? What type of person actually says that? Probably the same that would have been happy filling the trains in the 1940s. Different uniform, same mentality.

    • There’s no evidence that the Nazis were anywhere near as bloodthirsty as the bestial zionists.

      • Ahhh Mohammed, always show your true colours.
        Now remind us again how young was the profits bride…6 I believe she was?
        Kings in Europe had marriage of convenience with children, but that was to form alliances and the child either stayed in their own country or never even met the king throughout the ‘marriage’.
        Your prophet lived with and raped that little girl.
        What a person to idolise…sums you and your religion to a T!

  6. We are in the grip of insanity. A genocide is taking place behind the Gaza wall and we are trapped into the argument of ‘right’. Rights of the insane to mass murder. It is complicity, of course. Our stupefied leadership just the next cheek in the backside of zion. The murder-cult influence is everywhere. It’s power has stolen our ability to understand. To comprehend. To care. It’s propagandists have insinuated a godly command into the blank spaces where there was none; and now carry out their eschatological blood letting; dogs of war of the most despicable barbarity. Dancing while they wreck aid trucks. Filming themselves in womens underwear. laughing while dogs eat the bodies of babies in what is left of the cities of GAZA. We; the enlightened idiots of the west,
    turn a blind eye.
    And so are blind.

  7. If I had my way my country would declare war. As, in retrospect, I would want against Germany in the mid-30s. It’s the same thing.

    Our values are solid through the years, the Israel defenders have no moral compass.

    The people of my heart, my ancestral lot, the Scots, I criticize like the rabid dogs they were in the British Empire. I suppose my blind spot is we NZ pakehas, though I always vote for Maori interests. My ‘real’ blind spot is I stare at girls in nightclubs.

Comments are closed.