One thing that stood out to me in the last polling was how solid the Labour Party vote is holding up alongside Jacinda’s approval numbers.
My suspicion is that Labour have lost a lot of their soft vote and have built bedrock support.
You would have said Labour’s bedrock support was 25%, but I think it’s now around 35% and I think it’s been built in part by the universal experience of everyone who has been vaccinated so far.
When you arrive, the process of vaccination is so smooth, kind and efficient. No complex paperwork, you go in and within 20 minutes are out. That experience of effortless process is humbling and an immense vote of confidence in our public health system.
Remember, for the vast majority of Kiwis, getting the vaccine was the closest they’ve been to the frontline of Covid for 18months and that experience was remarkably positive.
This in turn is radiated back towards Labour, building their support.
Labour are turning soft voter support into strong supporter support because they are delivering in the areas that matter in the middle of a national emergency.
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