We are into 2021 and already there are 5 main domestic challenges that if Jacinda can not find solutions to, will doom her legacy as a mere shallow smile who could step up to alleviate an immediate crisis but wasn’t confident enough to solve the reasons for the crisis.
1 – Covid:
I have argued that the euphoria and optimism around the launch of new vaccines is horribly misplaced and that the global infection and death rate is just beginning. We will need a global herd immunity of 75%, and it may have to be an annual vaccination alongside the flu jab.
The new mutations, the breaking point for most medical systems and the social unrest and damage pandemics always spawn 6-12months after they start, just haven’t been factored in yet.
The explosion of domestic violence is just the tip of the iceberg of the damage that is being caused by the social frictions Covid have exacerbated.
The truth is the border will be closed throughout 2021, probably 2022 and possibly 2023!
Domestically this means the Government must be focused exclusively on keeping the virus out because if it slips through, our laid back slack track trace culture will require another lockdown. That in of itself won’t be catastrophic for the Government, but if the breach can be traced to a perceived incompetence amongst the civil service, the gratitude and good will Jacinda has amassed through her handling of the crisis will evaporate overnight.
This means almost every other domestic issue fades into insignificance, which is of itself a danger because what is the point of saving us from a pandemic if we can’t afford the rent in a burning country?
2 – Climate Crisis:
Late last year, Labour and the Greens were under immense pressure from a bewildered 60% of the electorate (who had handed them a majority and unprecedented mandate for change) to actually, you know, do some fucking change.
After watching Labour refuse to remove a racist drug law, do anything meaningful on welfare reform and ignore a wealth tax, the criticism was Labour (and the Greens) were implementing tepid nothings rather than bold visions.
To counter this criticism of tepid nothingness, Labour (and the Greens) passed a meaningless climate crisis declaration that didn’t actually trigger the emergency management powers.
That’s right, to counter claims they were tinkering, they declared more tinkering!
The point of the declaration was to provide some moral cover for the report due in February from the Climate Change Commission that will demand new cut backs in methane and co2.
The problem is that the suggestions coming back are still welded to this notion of being carbon neutral by 2050, that’s 29 fucking years away and the naked reality is that IF you actually believe the climate crisis is an existential threat to us as a species, you will know that doing something maybe in 29 years is no solution.
3 – Housing affordability:
The excruciating explosion in house prices that Labour have fuelled with billions poured into corporate banks for property speculators over the last few months will cascade down into profit maximisation of housing as a commodity.
That means evil rent rises in an over heated market that is close to boiling point.
Jacinda’s kindness means jack shit if people are thrown onto the streets because the unregulated, untaxed property speculation market has erupted AFTER her Government fed the machine AND ruled out a capital gains tax.
What’s the point of saving us from a virus if you can’t pay the rent?
The neoliberal NZ experiment has spawned a baby boomer subdivided middle class whose only illusion of wealth is the increasing property valuations generated by unfettered over seas buyers and slum lord property speculators.
Rent Rise Protests is the spark.
4 – Meth Crime Wave:
Every day this week there has been a shooting, a gun produced at Police or gang war violence on top of rioting in a prison. The Meth Crime Wave is taking over all crime in NZ. Gang recruits are up and the 501s now have their supply chains for South American Cartel meth established alongside a stand over regime on the domestic gangs.
Expect more brain haemorrhages as older meth users smoke purer and cheaper meth and an explosion of violent crime aimed against Dairies and Bottle Stores as desperate users try to rob for cash.
Guns are pouring into the country because of the meth trade.
This alongside the economic fall out of the pandemic will see a crime wave across the country which will give National their first chance to play the law and order card. There is also growing extremism from prisoners who have served long sentences without any rehabilitation.
5- Hate Speech:
The Hate Speech legislation has the potential of igniting a debate the Left aren’t ready to argue convincingly. The backlash by the woke in social media feeds will have people fearing less for minorities exposed to hate speech and fear more being accused of hate speech.
Ok, short of a revolution, what solutions could Labour look to?
Covid: The Government must look to economic nationalisation programmes because the free trade model is broken during a pandemic, especially one that has the potential to drag for 3 more years. This will take money and the Government MUST consider the Reserve Bank creating billions, lending them at zero percent interest to the Government and for the Government to use that on the social infrastructure and the physical infrastructure .
Climate: The Government must be far bolder than the Climate Commission’s recommendations and argue that we must lead the planet on climate crisis adaptation and pour billions into reseting the entire economy onto a carbon neutral model by the end of THIS decade, not 20fucking50.
Housing: Rent price controls, mass state housing rebuild and forcing speculators with more than 3 properties to stump up with 90% deposits.
Meth Crime: The Killer Bees were brought down by the older domestic gangs turning evidence over to the Police because there was agreement that they were a destabilising force. The same deal needs to be cut to shut down the 501s.
Hate Speech: Of all the issues confronting Labour, this Hate Speech one is the most likely to explode out of control as woke activists go on social media lynchings. Step back from ‘hare speech’ frame it as anti-harrasment and target the social media networks who spread this shit.
The challenges that confront the Government require serious money. If Labour refuse point blank to tax, then they must borrow and using the Reserve Bank to create money that is loaned at zero percent interest to pay for that investment MUST be the solution.
If Labour are too afraid to ‘think big’, they will fail to do anything meaningful on those challenges.
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