There are 480,000 special votes yet to be counted, that’s 17% of total votes. This includes an estimated 66,000 overseas and dictation votes.
In previous years, the specials heavily favour the Greens and Labour.
If anything, the winners will be extra seats to the Greens and Labour while National and ACT lose out.
We could see 2 or 3 extra seats going to Labour + Greens coming from National and ACT.
I doubt it will change Auckland Central or Waiariki.
The Left will be in a far more commanding position after the specials than they currently are now.
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