A canary in a coal mine and mine field?  2 flashing warning signs for National

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This election is based on how frightened people feel during this pandemic.

Sadly the numbers are suggesting National are screwed when it comes to positive feelings…

Survey: Jacinda Ardern makes voters feel more ‘hopeful’ than Judith Collins

New research shows Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern makes nearly twice as many people feel hopeful and proud than leader of the Opposition Judith Collins.

The Horizon Research Survey found Ardern made people feel more ‘comfortable,’ ‘pleased,’ ‘hopeful,’ and ‘proud’ than Collins – who was more likely to make people feel ‘angry,’ ‘afraid,’ ‘nervous,’ ‘disappointed,’ and ‘disgusted’.Horizon asked a sample of 1249 respondents over the age of 18, to rate the feelings evoked by both leaders, overall:

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    • 46 percent said Ardern made them feel ‘hopeful,’ compared with 24 percent for Collins.
    • 43 percent said Ardern made them feel ‘proud,’ compared with six percent for Collins.
    • 13 percent said Ardern made them feel ‘excited,’ compared with nine percent for Collins.
    • 43 percent said Ardern made them feel ‘comfortable,’ compared with 15 percent for Collins.
    • 34 percent said Ardern made them feel pleased,’ compared with 10 percent for Collins. 

…speaking with people who are watching the focus groups talking about Judith and Jacinda, the group reactions are almost night and day.

When Judith’s photo is shown, there is an audible groan of deep trauma and many report the room temperature to plunge. Breast feeding mothers have their milk turn, children cry out in pain and men experience deep depression.

When Jacinda’s photo is shown however, respondents report to feeling lighter, happier and those with terminal illness gain miraculous recoveries. The infertile become pregnant and weak become strong. Pet owners claim they see their lambs lying down with lions.

If people’s feelings are a canary in a coal mine, the second flashing warning flag for National is a canary in a minefield…

…when a critic like Sean Plunket is ranking the winners of a Business Leaders Forum he facilitated between Winston, James, Judith, David and Jacinda and he awards Jacinda the best performer, you know the tide has turned on National in a very extreme way.

A Labour Majority Government would be an exceptional achievement under MMP but every signal suggests the country will place its trust in Jacinda to be able to command an unprecedented political mandate.

 

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15 COMMENTS

  1. Without doubt Jacinda has taken over from John Key but if people can see past her halo there is little to give confidence that there is a plan to move forward . There is little that Winston says that I agree with but his opinion of the Labour Government is that they are amateurs

    • Trevor Sennitt: “….Jacinda has taken over from John Key….”

      It seems so. And with as little substance as he had, unfortunately. Dear Leader #2.

      “…his opinion of the Labour Government is that they are amateurs.”

      It’s difficult to disagree with that assessment, really. Judging by their record, they’re pants at the political process which is vital if a coalition is to work properly.

      • I have to admit, that yours is probably the best argument I have seen put up against the PM’s competence this week… Which makes me extremely happy, as You ably demonstrate just how few options the tories have, when it comes to successfully pretending to represent their own people… They don’t actually understand Kiwis well enough to ever lead them… That is the traitor Key’s legacy.. The uncaring leading the unknowing….

  2. I think this survey fair. Her spite and bile scares the shit out of me.

    Collins showing her face or opening her mouth is generally accompanied by mysterious flocks of ravens, nasty looking black Rottweilers, and sudden outbreaks of storms and lighting. And small children named Damian who have phobias of being near churches.

    Still, hardcore miserable Nat voters love the feeling of doom and utter catastrophe she exudes.

    • Collins is far too close to the ‘Chinese dragon’ of the totalitarian Communist party machine.

      So we are really now being drawn far to close to being inside the jaws of that Chines dragon monster if we allow Judith Collins and her henchmen into Government. That’s what scares many now.

  3. Nice woman Jacinda. Lacks knowledge and experience and is surprising at times with her brilliant communications. A Blairite surrounded by a worrying collection of similarly inexperienced ignorant neo-liberals who frankly scare the shit out of me. I am afraid very very afraid of the havoc ahead. No there is not a light at the end of the tunnel Labour are leading us into its another fucking train heading towards us and it will flatten us all.

    • Shona: “A Blairite surrounded by a worrying collection of similarly inexperienced ignorant neo-liberals who frankly scare the shit out of me.”

      Yup. Me too. I have no confidence in this lot as a future government, a fortiori if they garner enough votes to govern alone.

      I am of the generation which voted for the implementation of MMP. And we did it just so as to prevent the election of single-party governments, which rode roughshod over our rights, from Think Big, to Rogernomics, through to Ruthanasia. And we were powerless to prevent it.

      I used to work in the health sector. Do you know how close we came to being forced into a US-style privatised health system? If commenters are ignorant of CHEs and RHAs, lucky you. Many of us older citizens are only too painfully aware of them.

      It was the implementation of MMP which stopped further privatisation. MMP serves as a tool to constrain the worst ideological excesses of individual parties.

      I’m not suggesting that Labour would attempt health sector privatisation again. But they’re irredeemably neo-liberals, headed up by a Blairite. They won’t roll back the fundamentals of neo-liberalism, but they will attempt to crimp further our freedom of speech with Little’s wrong-headed hate speech Bill. And – in a misguided attempt to comply with the Treaty – they’ll uncritically acquiesce to the further racial segregation of education, health and social services. Possibly justice as well. We already have the Maori seats: indisputably racist.

      And we’ll end up living in a woke hellhole, with an apartheid system of the sort my generation protested against in other polities, many years ago.

      Please: open the borders and let us escape, before all this comes to pass!

  4. “This election is based on how frightened people feel during this pandemic.”

    Fear is never a good basis for an election. Were I either in the Labour party, or intending to vote for it, I’d hope for something more substantive than that.

    • People take no more than 5 minutes to decide who or why to vote. All-Party leaders fight over during an election is a margin of error. The stomach churners and head-scratchers ie fear and confusion happen when dumb arse don’t know why polls go up or down, or something unexpected happened.

      • Correct. Labour has to spectacularly self implode to lose this. The only thing I can see is that lifetime female National supporters will vote National when actually in the ballot box.

        It’s becoming clear the middle made up their mind weeks ago and Jacinda could sacrifice a goat on Lampton Quay and still the middle will vote for her.

        The only interesting thing now is whether the Greens get back in. If not you could argue Labour will find itself where National has been no mates Neville

        • Frank the Tank: “The only interesting thing now is whether the Greens get back in. If not you could argue Labour will find itself where National has been no mates Neville”

          It’s certainly possible. I am among the many who are hoping that the Greens don’t get back into parliament. We’ll see what the election results throw up. I most sincerely hope that it isn’t a one-party government.

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