A UMR poll the week after Todd Muller took over as National Party leader has shown no immediate change to the National Party’s fortunes, although Muller has debuted at 13 per cent as preferred Prime Minister.
The poll results had National on 30 per cent – just 1 per cent higher than the 29 per cent it scored on the last such UMR poll under Simon Bridges’ leadership at the end of April.
The poll has Labour still well ahead of National on 54 per cent, NZ First was on 5 per cent and the Green Party on 4 per cent.
UMR is the polling company used by the Labour Party, but this was one of a regular series taken for its corporate clients rather than Labour.
Labour – 54%
National – 30%
NZ First – 5%
Greens – 4%
This is the 4th consecutive poll that shows Labour can govern alone.
This poll was taken after Muller’s coup and while he is personally more popular than Simon Bridges was, the Party vote remained mutilated.
30% is a humiliation.
My argument is that the electorate watched Jacinda throughout the lockdown and are grateful to Labour and that this represents a sea change in the electorate, a change in the psychology of voters.
They are grateful to Jacinda and they believe she has earned a second term.
In this poll it doesn’t matter if NZ First gets over 5% because on these numbers Labour doesn’t need Winston.
The Greens continue to poll under the 5% threshold. I’ve written so many blogs explaining why the Greens have made themselves politically irrelevant that it doesn’t seem fair to rub it in any more.
But fuck fairness.
These clowns still don’t seem to understand that they are in survival mode this election and that their last 3 years spent micro aggression policing every middle class woke pure temple mantra makes them as alienating as cold vomit.
Will someone please wake up in the Green Party HQ or they are gone burger this election.
in 2017 TDB called on Left voters to rally around the Greens to ensure Jacinda had the numbers to form a Government with NZ First when the Greens dramatically polled under the 5% threshold.
This year, TDB will be releasing our tactical strategy for Left progressive voters closer to the election.
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