TDB lockdown tips & hacks – Monday 6th April


Have a Lockdown tip or hack you would like to share with others?

Please post them here for readers.

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  1. Will the lockdown be extended past 4 weeks?

    or should I say, when will it be extended?

    I have no medical background whatsoever but try and make sense of numbers being presented by our Ministry of Health. They are puzzling to me. Those numbers resulted in Dr Ashley Bloomfield declaring yesterday that NZ may be seeing the peak right now.

    Here’s why they are confusing to me. It’s accepted by many that NZ is between two and three weeks behind the UK in our curve. Experts in the UK are saying the best case scenario there is a peak with deaths etc around the 12th April, but it’s probable to be about two weeks later toward the end of April. If that is correct, how can NZ be at our peak now?

    The lockdown will obviously be gradually downgraded once we have a period of no reported confirmed cases of Covid-19 for several days.

    We are told by respected overseas experts about a time lag of weeks between events occurring during a pandemic and the consequences of those events showing up in the stats.

    We’ve been hearing NZ doctors and nurses talking about requesting testing 30 kits and only receiving 5 as the supply is being managed. We’ve been told that the very telling line in the sand is community spread yet they have until yesterday refused to test people showing Covid-19 symptoms if there is no link to international travel. We are also told that if a person with no international travel links does manage to get tested, labs have been refusing to test their sample. If we have community spread, this lockdown will be extended well past 4 weeks yet we remarkably only started testing for it yesterday.

    We were told last week that not as many people were tested as possible due to low weekend testing. I find that confusing. During a lockdown, surely, every day is the same as the one before and the one after? We are being told we’ll have the same situation this weekend. Ministry of Health even wen’t further to state there aren’t as many people out and about on the weekends. Really? I was out and about jogging yesterday and this morning. It was every bit as busy in my area of Auckland as it had been during the week, if not more.

    My logic says if you are talking about NZ being at it’s peak now, shouldn’t we try and gather compelling evidence of that asap? We’d need to avoid pausing or slowing testing down on the weekends as it will almost certainly give us statistics that potentially show you a pattern that is misleading and doesn’t reflect our reality. Perhaps, there are other reasons for what the Ministry of Health is saying about weekend testing such as very poor organisation and or the staff being used temporarily, not normally working on weekends.

  2. My lockdown tip,

    Take whatever savings & deposits you have currently with any bank & withdraw them! Take your cash out fast depositors …because if the Adrian ‘mahi tahi’ Orr fails to save the Banks with is US FED funded QE experiment then all depositors, term deposits holders and savers will be taking a massive financial haircut via the OBR scheme.

    Fiat currency is NOT real “money”. Real money has intrinsic value….

    Ask yourselves this: Why do we all pay tax, can’t they just print that as well?

    • You are a great help I don’t think Ross Matthews. Arriving spreading negativity and acronyms – the sort of commenter that I find really useless.l
      OBR – Open Bank Resolution
      Open Bank Resolution (OBR) is a long-standing Reserve Bank policy aimed at allowing a distressed bank to be kept open for business, while placing the cost of a bank failure primarily on the bank’s shareholders and creditors, rather than the taxpayer.

      This is what it means for depositors, customers and what Mr Matthews is alluding to, so we can all understand and get our bills paid and a bit under the mattress.
      Under OBR, a collapsed bank could be recapitalised by a statutory supervisor appointed by the Finance Minister by taking a proportion of the money depositors have in term deposits, and cheque, savings and other transactional accounts….

      But the IMF continued: “To enhance its credibility and strengthen the financial safety net, the introduction of deposit insurance would be the best option.”
      If the Reserve Bank did not do that, then OBR needed clarifying, instead of leaving the decision-making until the heat of a bank collapse.
      It suggested establishing an explicit “de minimis” under which people with only a small amount of money would not be made to take a haircut.

      March 2018

      And the earlier link from Mr Matthews is excellent and explains how the use of needles testing spots of blood could give a reliable answer re Covid-19 with low false results. This is from Keith Woodford who brings an objective view from his agricultural management background. *Keith Woodford was Professor of Farm Management and Agribusiness at Lincoln University for 15 years through to 2015. He is now Principal Consultant at AgriFood Systems Ltd. . He can be contacted at Keith’s previous COVID-19 articles are available here.

      This seems sound:…Perhaps the best way forward would be to direct the request directly to Professor Sir David Skegg to organise, given that he has both the professional expertise and a long history of working alongside Government and bureaucracies. Professor Skegg has been appearing before Parliament’s Epidemic Response Committee this week where he has called for greatly increased testing and contact-tracing.

      Whoever is appointed, and whoever that person co-opts, this is something to be done urgently.

      There are actually two parts to the what is needed. One part is to quickly evaluate the firms that claim to have suitable certified tests and who can supply now at scale and a reasonable price. The second part is to design how serology and PCR testing of swabs can complement each other within an integrated program.

      In New Zealand, we are in an internationally unusual situation in that we still have a realistic chance of stamping out this virus before it totally takes over. In that regard we are in a different position to almost all other countries. Accordingly, in finding the path from Level 4 to lower restriction levels we will have to do our own thinking and planning.

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