…and preferred PM poll is equally devastating…
…middle NZ have been made proud by Jacinda’s leadership and they are respecting that with their vote. It’s no surprise that Labour have soared, Jacinda’s incredible dignity and grace under such immense pressure showed her true character and allowed NZ to feel good about itself in a moment of nightmare. In a mere 18 months, Jacinda has won the middle and they will not walk away easily.
It’s easy to understand National plummeting, the proximity to the white supremacist by promoting a far right UN conspiracy that the terrorist scrawled o their guns, the ‘junior emotion staffer’ fiasco, the JLR fiasco, the internal review of women (that no women were asked in) fiasco, the Simon Bridges fiasco. It’s fiasco after fiasco. National look like spoilt rich children where as Jacinda looks like an adult. Judith Collins will wait for Bridges to crash out in the 2020 election before she strikes.
The Greens are stalling, apparently their ‘blame-all-white-crackers-for-terrorism’ strategy surprisingly hasn’t borne any fruit and and NZ First is gaining due to Shane Jones weekly rampage against anyone the provinces despise.
18 months out till the next election here’s how I see it:
Labour will be the biggest Party
National will plunge under 40%
Right now the Greens are polling BELOW their 2017 meltdown – at what point will anyone inside the Party suggest the problem is a leadership one? The Greens will sink under 5% and rather than identify their alienating woke identity politics as the reason they are out of Parliament will instead blame the heteronormative patriarchy as the problem.
NZ First will need to win Northland to ensure political representation.
ACT might pick up an extra seat via MMP coat tailing if Seymour plays the culture war card.