Many were jumping with glee over the Newshub first poll of the year.
I think that joy is misplaced because the Poll is not great news for the Left. Like the last Q+A poll of 2017 (which changed polling methodology to one that should favour voters of the Left) this new one should concern us because in both Polls, National went up.
Thats right, National are still climbing in the Polls, they aren’t going down.
That should be bloody scary, because if National manage to create a side project Political Party in a safe National seat, the game will be all over.
If National stood aside for a new Conservative Party in a safe National seat, or had a current electorate MP ‘leave’ National to create a side project Party, they would overwhelm the Left.
There is every chance this new Government could be a one term wonder.
All these academic Pundants remind of the guys I use to throw paper at, now that Labour/NZ1st/Green are in it’s like these academic pundants have a little bit of power. I remember last time, election14 (Cunlif) faced with environmental vandals, financial crimes, war crimes, a bit of treason, economic vandals and crimes against humanity more generally. Some how the narrative became all about muh feels and the left totally lost there shit and forgot about due process. Electing competent leaders really shouldn’t be this complicated. You know, make some ideas up, generate consensus, win an election.
That fact that National is showing strength means Labour has to bring in the right of Labour instead of pushing the right with in Labour away. And unfortunately on the previous 100 days that might mean tough on crime including drug crimes, a proper defence force, and some one please count for Shane Jones how many Pine trees are on the open market and just start shoving them in the ground until you can’t shove it any more. No one can say a bad thing about a bit of elbow grease.
I actually think the Coalition government is doing just fine in the house. If only they would lean on there social media following a bit more they wouldn’t need to rely so heavily on the major networks to get there opinions out there. It’s no good talking about targets and so on. People need to feel apart of it, it’s got to be moral boosting.
One of the things you’ll notice about today’s question and answers (Thursday) in Parliament is when the treasury benches laugh it’s because it’s funny. But when opposition benches laugh it’s manufactured. So all these academic pundants trying to sow the seeds of discontent between “Labour/Greens” or “Labour/NZ1st” or “Labour lite,” y’all know who you are talking like if so and so don’t do this or that then your beloved pet party will all of a sudden follow due process and stick to principles because there is a grieves crime some one neglected to mention in the coalition deal. I’m not talking about the average normie who don’t know better. I’m talking about academic social justice warriors plotting the Greens exit strategy or NZfirst academics basically they’re all just freaking right the fuck out with a little bit of power.
‘From your lips to gods ears’ 🙂
Indeed, I expect it will be a one term government, perhaps not even last until 2020. They will have a rush of new policy that will be passed into law by mid or late this year, and after that they will not have enough money left to offer NZers all that much more, given the agreed budget restraints.
The excitement about Jacinda and her baby will wane eventually, and she will not look all that great anymore a year or so after, because NZ First will keep the brakes on many bolder things Labour and Greens would really like to do.
Perhaps there will be issues with Shane Jones or others in NZ First, causing ripples, wait and see.
The Nats will change leaders, and with Simon Bridges or so look younger and more aggressive, thus serving the interests of the selfish part of the population, and succeeding in exploiting dissatisfaction among others, who feel a bit left out under this government.
We should be worried, with the Nats polling solidly around 44 percent. Labour and Greens lack a solid support base, just look the low unionisation rates, the lack of activism there is now, we do hardly get significant protests for or against issues that many may care about.
Brainwashing by commercially driven MSM continues and people do not wish to give up their cars, their lifestyles to make sacrifices and save the planet and climate. Short sightedness is everywhere, I note, never mind the tomorrow.
That said, the challenges are massive, but a weak government does not have the guts and even mandate to take this country on the course it needs to go.
National’s polling is “up” only by a miniscule 0.1%-point. Not something for the Nats to take consolation from.
The best they could take from this poll is that they haven’t dropped.
Early days yet.
My main concern is for NZ First. I sincerely pray that the NZF leadership does not panic over these results. Mid-election polling is rarely favourable to smaller political parties, starved of “oxygen” of media exposure from election campaigns.
As long as Shane Jones and Tracey Martin do well in their respective portfolios, NZ First has a decent chance to shine.
“Steady as she goes, Mr Sulu!”
The National Party: will flex for ciggies, coke, denial, Iwi vs kiwi = 0.1%
Jacinda is so wonderfully charismatic and articulate I wouldn’t be surprised if Labour goes to an outright majority well before the next election. Assuming they don’t fuck their goodwill up, of course (which is so very easy with soundbite/clickbait/rhetoric/fake news that dominates not only politics but the entirety of Western “culture”).
Pointless polling at this stage in the cycle … and there are no political partys on the left, anymore. The Greens have moved to the centre, Labour are definitely centre right and the other partys are all right of them. So lets not delude ourselves that there is a political “Left” party in parliament. Its a fuck’n disgrace!
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