Jacinda Ardern – Setting the record straight on National’s tax scaremongering

31
2

31 COMMENTS

    • https://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/477/main-partie

      HORIZON POLL
      INCORPORATING SHAPENZ

      YOU ARE HERE
      Home : Research Results : Main parties in dead heat
      Research Results
      Main parties in dead heat
      16 Sep 17
      Credit: Radio NZ

      Nothing between the main parties with 8 days to go …
      National and Labour are almost dead even in the latest Horizon party vote poll.

      Among those who are registered, have made up their minds and will definitely vote, National has 38.5%support.

      Labour has 38.2%.

      New Zealand First has 9.8%, the Green Party 7.7%.

      If this level of support is achieved by NZ First then it will be able to decide which main party governs.

      ACT has 1.4% which could also be significant in deciding which main party governs. If ACT’s leader wins the Epsom electorate, on these results ACT would have two MPs and enable a National-New Zealand First-ACT coalition.

      Alternatively, on these results a Labour-Green-NZ First coalition could govern.

      The poll of 846 registered voters was taken between September 9 and 14.

      It is weighted by age, gender and region to ensure it represents the New Zealand adult population at the last census. At a 95% confidence level, the maximum margin of error for the decided voter sample is +/- 3.4%.

      The result mirrors poll of polls results showing the main parties in a close race in the last week of the election campaign.

      Expected and preferred coalition leader

      Overall, 59% of decided voters are expecting Labour to lead a coalition government if one is needed. 41% expect National would lead it.

      Asked who they would prefer to lead a coalition, 53% say Labour, 47% National.

      Voting by gender and age

      Women are a significant driver of Labour’s support in this poll and since the change to Jacinda Ardern as leader.
      42% of women voters support Labour, 33% National.

      National is stronger among men: 44% to 34% for Labour.

      By age, Labour’s strongest support is coming from those aged 18-34.

      52% of definite voters aged 18-24 support, Labour, 25% National.

      47% of those aged 25-34 support Labour, 32% National.

      The parties each have 32% of those aged 35-44 years.

      National has more support among those aged 45+.

      Among those 65+ National has 52%, Labour 29%.

      Seats

      Assuming the Maori Party and ACT each win one electorate seat, these results would give parties this number of seats in Parliament:

      ACT 2
      Green Party 10
      Labour 47
      Maori Party 1
      National 48
      NZ First 12

      The survey complies with Research Association New Zealand’s political polling code.

      A Roy Morgan poll published on September 15 also finds the parties neck and neck.
      The National Business Review covers the Horizon poll and radio interview here.

      Your comments are welcome at Horizon’s Facebook page.

      For further information, please contact Grant McInman, Manager, Horizon Research, e-mail gmcinman@horizonresearch.co.nz, telephone +64 21 0762040

      https://thestandard.org.nz/roy-morgan-shows-the-nats-have-been-targeting-the-wrong-place/

      DSpare12
      16 September 2017 at 9:07 am
      There is also this Horizon poll out today:
      Among those who are registered, have made up their minds and will definitely vote, National has 38.5% support.Labour has 38.2%.New Zealand First has 9.8%, the Green Party 7.7%.
      https://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/477/main-partie
      They are also claiming that because ACT is on 1.4% it; “would have two MPs and enable a National-New Zealand First-ACT coalition”. Which seems unlikely even though mathmatically possible. I have no idea what the margin or error is down there, but it wouldn’t take many tenths of a percent drop to push ACT below the two MP threshold (plus Seymour isn’t guaranteed to win Epsom).
      The main conclusion I’ve reached from political polling this election is; the only reliable result is that each polling company’s different methods will produce different results. Only a week to go till we can assess them against reality.

      • Thanks Cleangreen. Its a tense knuckle biting race alright, the suspense is killing me, not sure if my nerves can take it.

  1. Exactly and beautifully scripted Jacinda.

    MORE SCAREMONGERING by our MSM ( N.Z. Herald)
    The same John Armstrong who retired and the same John Armstrong that had to apologise to David Cunliffe for the lies he told about him. John has popped out of retirement to try and influence the election. These National stooges are doing their bit to halt the avalanche that is Labour at present. I note John nor Fran O’Sullivan have not written about the potential corruption by McCully and National in hiding the truth behind the Saudi sheep farm scandal or the Todd Barclay/ Bill English 450 text scandal. Nothing on the housing crisis. So rather than writing editorials which are straight out right wing scaremongering, I suggest both John and Fran do some real investigative work rather than be National lackey’s. Don’t get me wrong, it is our democratic right to vote for whoever we like but when we have people trying to influence voters though fear and personal attacks then it is our right to respond to these people and ask a simple question, where’s the balance in your journalism?

    It doesn’t take a rocket surgeon to work out both John and Fran’s political leanings.

  2. “Dirty politics” Jacinda, National and their MSM counterparts have been in action for a number of years now. The message that you are getting through to voters, via your debates, is that National are building their “hate Labour” campaign around lies. Keep pounding away with this message as the N.Z. public are starting to see a pattern emerging with National and in particular Bill English.

      • So not important. People can’t keep living in cars for 3 years while some slow non working group takes their good old time about it.

    • Because the Nats are using taxation to peddle misinformation, half-truths, and outright lies. And because a percentage of voters are naive/thick enough to believe what dribbles from Joyce’s mouth.

      If the Metiria incident was any indication, never underestimate the Middle Class’s ability to be ‘spooked’.

      • ^^ This @ Frank Macskasy you are 100% correct. Unfortunately the lying smearmongering was picking up steam, so this at least takes the wind out of Nationals sails.

      • Perfectly said Frank,

        I love your words, they resonate in my head.

        Of course we all know how deep they lie so will the conquering labour team that take over the treasury benches next week find the books in so much mess that we willl need emergency actions taken such as ‘change the treasury act back to the 1960’s model and print money?

        Shit mate, I have absoltely no faith or trust in National, as they just dont know how to be honest any more I am afraid.
        One week to go and then we shall find out eh?

        • Yes agree with that and in particular “find the books in so much mess that we will need emergency actions” is my view as well.

  3. [NZBC, please rephrase your comment without the sexist ad hominem against Jacinda Ardern. This is not ‘Whaleoil’. – Scarletmod]

  4. Now if that speech of Jacinda’s could just be covered in its entirety across all platforms and tv channels that might just be worth a hell of a lot more votes.

  5. What a marvelous person to have as our new Prime Minister , – no wonder John Armstrong is packing a sad.

    Its a Labour / Greens govt after September 23rd and all the far right wing Orks know it.

    Scuttle on back to Mordor , oh unwashed ones ,… your age is over !!!

    Go Labour and go the Greens !!!

    Wooooohooooo !!! 🙂

  6. If working people want a tax cut, TAX THE RICH MORE.
    It’s a hard concept to grasp, huh?

    There’s a lot of talk about “fairness”, a lot of feet shuffling, a lot of “better not offend anyone” in this video. Just tell it like it is for god’s sakes: no ordinary working person on less than $70K a year can compete with the multi-millionaire investor class.

    Wake up!

  7. There you go, dear light Blue voters, female and perhaps male, no threat as such, no threat at all, to vote for change, the rest will come and be presented for you to scrutinise, before election 2020, so you can then make a judgment on whatever may be proposed is fair or not so.

    What else can right of centre voters ask for, and what else can stop them to consider a positive change?

    Only ideology, stubbornness and self interest are objections to the change we are offered, nothing else.

    Be honest, Kiwis, be honest, to yourselves and the kids, and vote for change, I’d say. And I am not even a fan of Jacinda.

    At least give her and Labour a chance!

Comments are closed.