BREAKING: TV3 POLL – Labour 39.4% National 43.4% Green 6.1% NZ First 6.6%

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Latest Poll from TV3 which has always over represented National now say  Labour 39.4% National 43.4% Green 6.1% NZ First 6.6%

Labour need to continue the momentum but the biggest story is that with Maori Party and MANA  still in this game, NZ First could lose their Kingmaker status.

 

 

 

5 COMMENTS

    • Labour do need to continue the momentum but with Far Right wing radio announcer Leighton Smith at the helm, criticising Jacinda, by way of tax scaremongering, it will be difficult. The vile attacks on Jacinda, with claims of uncontrollable taxing of ordinary citizens reeks of dirty politics. Not once has Smith mentioned Nationals tax increases nor challenged English on how he will pay for the ever amounting election bribes. Is this because Smith knows that these will just be broken promises from the Hollow Man. At no point did Smith reference the two largest taxes implemented under National, the raising of GST from 12.5% to 15% and petrol tax. These are the greatest taxes, outside of income tax.

    • WEKA; put his finger upon this ‘Reid’ pollster as he said most of their polls are taken of those only with line lines. Another had a call from Reid for a poll last week but she said Reid backed out after her age was to old for the poll.

      I had this happen to me during the last election in 2014.

      Now all my poor friends, (and i do know a lot) cannot afford a land line phone now.

      So perhaps the Reid poll is using most ‘well heeled’ voters only whom I would imagine only vote for the NatZ!!!!!

  1. Excuse me if I turn some people off with detail but I feel I need to say my bit about polls and polling.

    What are polls supposed to do? Do they do it? and do polls influence the way we vote?
    Polls began life a few decades ago as basically a snapshot of the moment. They were not the “be all and end all” phenomenon that they are now but were used primarily by the political parties to judge themselves on how well they were connecting with the voting public and what issues were important to people.
    Now polls have become an end to themselves and basically a MSM fetish, a fetish that the MSM wants every voter to indulge in. It has had a negative impact in that political parties now instinctively do what will be good for their poll results, not what is right or good.
    It goes further than that, polling influences how people vote, particularly under MMP for parties hovering around the crucial 5% mark. A good example is in the present campaign. As soon as the Greens slumped to around 5% political commentators started questioning whether Greens supporters will be wasting their votes and that they should think about supporting Labour to make sure this did not happen.
    Go a step further, imagine you are supporting a party that is between 4 and 5% and you want to change the government – you start thinking about changing your vote because of the polls. Of course hard core supporters of any party won’t change but less committed voters might. They might declare that the polls won’t influence them but they still will look at the results anyway and be (in some cases) subconsciously affected.
    I admit that I also have thought this way.
    The preoccupation with polls tends to stifle debate about things that matter. As we saw when Bill English was in Nelson he wanted to talk about policy but the reporters just wanted to talk about the poll results.
    Preoccupation with polls has a tendency to create policy “on the hoof” which leads to lavish spending promises by parties trying to outbid the others and they judge their success whether or not they go up in the next poll.
    A lot of us forget that the polls that count are in OUR hands, not the MSM’s.
    Was it Jim Bolger who once said “bugger the pollsters”?

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