Could TOP win Central Auckland and could Green + Labour voters in Epsom kill David Seymour?

By   /   June 19, 2017  /   12 Comments

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The Opportunities Party have selected the amazing Mika X as their candidate for Central Auckland. Mika is one of Auckland’s creative Princes and will add flair to an electorate that demands big personalities.

The Opportunities Party have selected the amazing Mika X as their candidate for Central Auckland. Mika is one of Auckland’s creative Princes and will add flair to an electorate that demands big personalities.

Labour have been left with no star power in the seat after Jacinda dumped it for greener pastures in Mt Eden and the Greens have Denise Roche.

Neither have a anyone capable of taking out Nikki Kaye. Could Mika have an impact?

Possibly.

 

With a zero profile candidate, Labour’s vote is up for grabs, Denise Roche’s vote are always up for grabs but Kaye’s dominance means it is likely the seat will go to Kaye, but with elections as unpredictable as we currently have, don’t rule out a miracle.

In Epsom things are far more interesting. ACT are currently bragging they will win the electorate hands down, but the truth is that if Labour voters and Green voters actually voted as strategically as National voters do and actually voted for the National Party candidate, they would kill off ACT as the wasted Green and Labour vote would swamp ACT if they all voted for the National Candidate.

 

 

The numbers are there to kill off ACT, but it can only happen if Labour and Green voters turn their electorate vote into a protest vote.

 

 

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12 Comments

  1. Luke says:

    Surely time for lab\green voters to hold their noses and vote for the nat candidate plus party vote lab\green.

  2. esoteric pineapples says:

    How hard can it be for Green Party members to give their candidate vote to National when it is only their party vote that will have any impact on the number of Green MPs in Parliament after the election.

  3. Castro says:

    Holy crap; what gives, Martyn? I just don’t get it. Are you trying to give TOP oxygen to guarantee the Natzis a fourth term by taking votes off the Greens? Seriously, what gives?

    • Cemetery Jones says:

      The Greens can’t win central, Roche is a beta candidate. With Mika standing for TOP, this could be a big deal.

  4. roy cartland says:

    RE Epsom: keep pushing the message that the CANDIDATE vote only adjusts the list: the PARTY vote chooses the Govt. I was confused by this once upon a time, it seems counter-intuitive.

  5. saveNZ says:

    The numbers are there to kill off ACT, but it can only happen if Labour and Green voters turn their electorate vote into a protest vote – what are they waiting for!!

    Hold your noses and vote NAT in EPSOM for your electorate vote!

    Labour and Greens should only run one candidate so they can win central Auckland. Someone good too, Nicky is not liked, she wins by default.

    Had a Nat supporter write to her regarding an issue with the council, they were NOT pleased with her response which was essentially nothing!

    • Hold your noses and vote NAT in EPSOM for your electorate vote!

      I concur.

      Otherwise, if Seymour’s musings on ‘The Nation’ on 10 June come true, and ACT polls 1.2%(or more), then Seymour brings in an extra MP on his “coat tails”. That would give National an extra seat in Parliament, via their proxy party.

      Epsom and Ohariu are two seats (at least) where Left voters need to vote with their heads, not their hearts. Otherwqise they are consigning this country to a fourth National regime. Screw that.

      • patricia bremner says:

        Hold your noses and vote for the Nat candidate in Epsom. Give your Party vote to Labour or Green.
        We don’t want two Act party members in!!!

  6. Gosman says:

    You are dreaming on Epsom.

  7. Al says:

    I live in Remuera although I am not rich and I am left.

    It would be very difficult to vote for me and my wife to vote for NAT but if this is making a difference, we would go for it.

    Is there no way that a LABOUR/GREEN candidate would win?

    • Gosman says:

      Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!

      I’m sorry I can’t stop laughing at that concept.

  8. Mike in Auckland says:

    If I was in charge of Labour, this would NEVER happen, but it has, and Seymour gets away with his crap and spin, I am sick of it:
    http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/political/333570/little-says-labour-party-interns-situation-embarrassing

    Why give the man oxygen with such crap?