If NZ is a test market for the US, the role of secret emails, hackers and dirty politics that all played out in our 2014 election has injected steroids while smoking meth and taken to the American electorate with all the charm of a fully automatic AK-47.
Here’s how I read the latest twists and turns of the most bizarre election in modern American history.
It’s not just the FBI decision to reopen their investigation into Clinton’s emails (which has been supported by Obama and quite honestly was the only thing to do once Hillary’s emails were found on her assistants devices), it’s the Wikileaks. Fancy Bear (the hacker who has so damaged the Clinton campaign), has been releasing via Wikileaks increasingly damaging material. The last dump next week is already being rumoured by Kim Dotcom to be the 30 000 emails Clinton destroyed in her previous investigation. This is all super dangerous to Clinton, not because it would ever make a Democrat vote Republican, but that it will make the Bernie supporters vote for the Green candidate or not vote at all.
Expect far worse to come out before the election. Whoever is running this American interference learned that from the NZ example.
This is what’s really behind Trump’s last minute surge. He’s not winning over Democrats, he’s winning over the Republican base, whose hatred of Hillary is enough for them to get enthusiastic about Donald as a candidate.
Luckily for Trump, the weird evangelical faith that grips the American religious psyche, while moralistic and disapproving of pussy grabbing, regards wealth as a shining example of God’s blessings.
It’s fascinating how the shrill triumphalism that echoed out on social media that Hillary was certain to win has gone very silent over the last 48 hours. It’s that same smug elitism that misread Brexit and the supposed popularity of Red Peak so badly.
Trump’s hyper-narcissistic and fragile self-esteem is the very caricature of American Nascar and Wrestling toxic masculinity pop culture. He is the frankenstein construct of ignorance, misplaced privilege and white male rage which is why I think gender is the real societal fault line this election.
Why gender is the real societal fault line this election
I think there are deeply angry men and women who are furious with the other and that is a hidden fault line in this election.
The explosion of social media has allowed disenfranchised voices to gain platform and the fury of their righteous grievances has been heard by far more people than ever before. The ‘not all men’ syndrome of immediately becoming hyper defensive at suddenly being confronted by your privilege can cause more harm than conversion and that’s exacerbated the deep anger that Trump has tapped into amongst white males who feel like they have lost power within society.
When you are so used to the system being biased in your favour, being treated equally can seem like prejudice.
The terrible misogyny of toxic masculinity is what’s fuelling Trump while women who have lived 24-7 in a rape culture where their lives and rights are constantly threatened have gravitated to Hillary in revulsion at the sexist comments Trump has made and will stick with her even if the emails reveal she did wrong.
Whoever wins, the anger and resentment this election has created will scar the emotional landscape of America and the world far beyond the 4 year term.