There is so much at stake economically and politically with the TPPA.
To date, the Government have relied on the fact that middle NZ loves John Key more than a shark loves blood and have used his incredible political capital against any major backlash in policy. This has been accompanied by a mainstream media in total acquiescence with whatever the PMs Office wants.
Hence most sleepy hobbits blink slowly when the issue of the TPPA pops up.
The problem with the TPPA is that it isn’t a trade deal, of the 29 chapters in the TPPA, only 5 have anything to do with Trade. This is a national security leash America are using to fend off Chinese influence in the Pacific. This is about US corporations having the power to over ride domestic law.
It’s as much a direct threat to our national sovereignty as unregulated speculation by China and other foreign nations in our residential housing market.
The idea of the TPPA’s focus on intellectual property rights is that they don’t care if we watch TV on huge flatscreen made in China, they just want us watching American culture. A country indoctrinated in American values is easier to control than sending the military in.
This is why Kim Dotcom’s case erupted here, America wants to stake out it’s interests and force its jurisdiction into cyber space.
So when such huge games of chess are being played – what is Key and Groser to do.
There are 2 options.
1 – We the patriots – In this scenario, as painted out bleakly by Chris Trotter, Key and Groser can’t get the Dairy restrictions lifted and come home as champions who have effectively told America to go stick it. Both are seen as patriots and romp home for a 2017 win.
2 – John and Tim’s magic beans – In this scenario, Key gets some token move on Dairy which he trumpets as a major win and signs up to the TPPA ignoring the enormous backlash at home because he and Tim are promised cushy jobs at the WTO or IMF and so have little concern that it will cost National the 2017 election.
Either scenario will be a disaster for NZ.