Ouch. Latest poll by Q+A highlights the foolishness of Labour’s decision to run a candidate in the by-election. Q+A have Winston tied with National and winning if the Labour candidate is pulled. This blog pointed out the reality of Winston running first yet Labour decided to try it on anyway. Northland is a conservative electorate, when the horror of Sabin’s ‘personal issues’ are made clear, that conservative electorate is going to be furious with National.
That fury was always going to swing behind any candidate OTHER than Labour. Labour’s decision to insult NZ First and risk allowing the Government to win is driven by a confused thinking inside the Wellington bubble.
Seeing as Labour joined NZ First and John Key to slit Hone’s throat in Te Tai Tokerau, the idea that Labour are too special to cut electorate deals is just bullshit. It’s blind arrogance and First Past The Post thinking in an MMP environment.
This arrogance is compounded by Labour’s current strategy to ignore MMP and aim to be a 40% Party again. The only way Labour can get to 40% is by either cannibalising NZ First and Green vote or wooing National voters.
We will probably get a change in Government in 2017, but it won’t be a changed Government. The Left’s inability to understand and embrace strategic MMP voting is driven by our tribal hatred for each others schism as opposed to the actual enemy of the Right.