The latest Roy Morgan Poll is a reminder of what happens when the news media go to war on a Political Party. Labour have had it for the last 5 and a half years, but trust the Nats born to rule arrogance to finally provide too much ammunition for the mainstream media to ignore and the type of wild swings the latest Roy Morgan Poll shows against National are a possibility.
The reason the Roy Morgan is so important for real pundits is that Roy does one thing none of the other landline Polls do, they take cell phones into account. This gives them a far broader range than TV3 or TVNZs Polls which have always been out by massive amounts in favour to National.
So Labour up to 31%, Greens up to 14.5% with MANA on 1% and Internet Party climbing to 1.5%. If an alliance between Internet Party and MANA can be formed, the need to include NZ First becomes less necessary and a Labour led Government could be the most progressive ever voted in.
While the mainstream media will scream to you that National and John Key are riding a tsunami of support with almost half the country in love with them, the reality, as this blog has pointed out for sometime, is that the election will be right down to the wire.
National have to gain higher than their 47% at the last election, and if the Left work together to eliminate National’s support partners in Epsom and Waiariki then National will win the most votes on the night but with no clear path to a Parliamentary majority.