If Cunliffe repeats his opening speech during the election – Labour will win 2014 election


If Cunliffe pulls out the performance he made in Parliament yesterday during the election debates – Labour will win the 2014 election.

His performances won’t just bring those voters who didn’t bother to vote, it will take NZ First protest vote and some of the Green vote that left Labour. It will also pull some of that soft National vote.

Key dominated Goff in the 2011 election, his one liners and his relaxed demeanour showed up Goff’s stiff performance, but in Cunliffe the PM has an opponent that can win the debate. Key will be left with Crosby-Textor tactics of trying to switch on the anger in his rump voters to motivate them.

Expect to see whaleoil used mope and more for that type of vitriol.


  1. A strong performance by DC and Labour is good for the Greens too. The Greens have long ago staked out their section of the vote. It has been Labour which has been letting the left down by its limp performance so I’m one Green Party supporter who is glad to see Labour getting some of its mojo back. We need that. Labour has the capability to win votes that the Greens are not able to get.

    • Fambo I don’t see how a strong performance from DC can help the Greens. DC is moving Labour to the left, which is not a growing constituency, therefore the only place he can get votes is from the Greens. Elections are won in the centre, and DC’s 800,000 missing electors is just a fiction.

      Also, did you watch JK’s speech yesterday? The telling thing for me was that long after both Key and Cunliffe spoke, the Labour benches were empty but the Nat’s benches were still full listening to Nat after Nat speaking on the Govt’s good record. I don;t see confidence in the opposition benches at all.

    • Ditto to that, Fambo.

      A strong Labour and Green Party can only benefit the country as a whole and counter the Right.

      Labour does indeed have “the capability to win votes that the Greens are not able to get”. Some swing-voters move between National and Labour, but probably fewer between National and the Greens. Though deep sea drilling and mining conservation lands will make a few previous National voters think twice on Election Day…

      Having watched Key on the Paul Henry, I think his smile was forced. He is showing signs of not being the “easy going” bloke he once was.

      • Indeed, and Cunliffe handled Henry very confidently – I tried imagining Goff or Shearer in that interview, and I just couldn’t imagine either of them managing that kind of relaxed spontaneity.

    • @ FAMBO -Yes. Watching parliament today, it seems Labour and the Greens debating and focusing on inequality and poverty all through question time, are coming across as working as a united team. The potential is there. Has to be a positive for the left.

      If this continues, then the forecast is looking good for a strong Labour/Greens coalition government this year.

      National on the other hand, is not looking so secure with its dubious and rather shaky coalition partners!

    • Not sure of you’ve ever met either of them, but Key is affable and human, Cunliffe is stiff and robotic. That will tell in the election, along with Cunliffe’s flip flops and casual regard for the truth.

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