It may be a forgone conclusion that either John Banks or Peter Dunne are removed from Parliament before the next election, as they both face serious charges which if upheld would ensure their political careers are effectively over.
As I’m sure the enlightened reader’s of The Daily Blog are aware, Banks is caught up in a private prosecution concerning his not so anonymous donations while Dunne is facing accusations of leaking a report into the GCSB.
If found guilty, both these mealy-mouthed politicians should be automatically expelled from Parliament, being that the respective crimes they’re accused of carry a maximum penalty of two or more years in prison. With the government having a one-seat majority, losing Banks or Dunne could cause a snap election.
Whatever the outcome, the writing is already on the wall for United Future. Last week the Electoral Commission deregistered the defunct party because it basically didn’t have enough paid up members. David Carter, the biased Speaker of the House, hasn’t decided whether Dunne should lose his extra $122,000 per year in party funding, which in my opinion is an entirely unacceptable decision to delay making. This is public money after all and there are rules that should be followed.
The Act party is in a similar boat and polling well below the threshold required under MMP. It’s yet to be seen whether another National party endorsement will get Banks reelected in Epsom and with the Act party registering well below 1%, their hopes of remaining a viable political party look set to be dashed against the rocks of democracy.
Depending on how this all plays out, National could be a very lonely party on the opposition benches after the next election. Even with the faux support of other centre right parties, the Natz are unlikely to win the next election. NZ First and the Maori party will both align with a Labour and Greens coalition government, given half a chance.
The problem for Peters is NZ First’s undignified racist attitude, which has received widespread condemnation both here and abroad. Such divisive sentiments simply aren’t resonating with the general public like they used to and NZ First’s support will probably decline into oblivion if they continue to follow a similar political tactic. They’re also not polling above the threshold to retain any list MPs, which means John Keys’ changing of tune to entertain the idea of a coalition deal with Winston Peters could all be in vain.
The issue here is that a majority of the voting public is fed up with right wing policies that have allowed New Zealand’s economy and society in general to stagnate. We used to be one of the best countries in the world, now we’re lucky to even rate above average. Only a new policy direction will give all Kiwis, irrespective of skin colour or financial status, the chance to attain a better standard of living. Only a change of government will ensure we all have the brighter future that was promised to us by John Key all those years ago.