Team Shearer (14)
David Shearer, Phil Goff, Annette King, Trevor Mallard, David Parker, Clayton Cosgrove, Shane Jones, Damien O’Connor, Darien Fenton, Kris Fa’afoi, Ross Robertson, Carol Beaumont, Maryan Street, Ruth Dyson.
The Young and The Restless (9)
Grant Robertson, Jacinda Ardern, Chris Hipkins, Phil Twyford, Clare Curran, Megan Woods, Ian Lees-Galloway, David Clark, Andrew Little.
Cunliffe’s People (11)
David Cunliffe, Lianne Dalziel, Moana Mackey, Nanaia Mahuta, Louisa Wall, Sue Moroney, Parekura Horomia, Rajen Prasad, Rino Tirikatene, Su’a William Sio, Raymond Huo.
We need a color coded chart to measure any leadership coup risk in the Labour Party. No challenger in their right mind would attempt a leadership tilt without at least 18months lead in to the 2014 election so if there is going to be a challenge in Labour it will have to occur before or by June of this year.
The Young and the Restless team are looking at Shearer’s continued lackluster performance and are getting nervous, there are even a few in Team Shearer are already sniffing the air for a wind shift.
Shearer still seems to have no gut instinct as to who he is actually pitching Labour’s message to. On any given issue he can’t make a clear counter statement. He won’t say if he will or wont buy back assets and can’t say if he would or wouldn’t give Rio Tinto more corporate welfare.
David Shearer doesn’t seem to have a position on anything, politically he is the anti-Kama Sutra.
At some stage Robertson is going to have to realize someone has to get stabbed and make that call to Cunliffe.
The forgotten UN bank account has the possibility of destabilizing Shearer’s leadership and blunting Labour’s attack on Key’s own brain fades.
Robertson’s natural caution however wouldn’t be enough to excite the 800 000 odd enrolled voters who didn’t bother to vote, he would need Cunliffe in Finance with Russel Norman as associate to spark imagination.
Robertson as leader with Jacinda as Deputy and Cunliffe in Finance could be the team that wins Labour the Government but that phone call has until June to happen.
Past June they are simply saddled with Shearer come hell or high water
I’d put the current color coded risk of coup at blue.