I’ve read a lot of ‘100 days of Trump’ stuff and it seems to me that the Left are still unable to admit and accept why Trump won.
This matters because if the Left still can’t comprehend how Trump won, then they have little chance of beating this orange deranged revenge fantasist in 4 years time.
Let’s be clear. I am not some delusional lefty who sees Trump as some sort of hero outsider who will overturn the vested corporate interests of America’s Military Industrial Complex, I think he is a narcissistic tumour who has cleverly manipulated the economic anger and cultural fury of those who have lost the most from the Democrats neoliberal free market globalisation.
It is this total lack of self awareness by many on the Left as to why so many union, women and working poor voted for Trump that is the most problematic part of Trump’s first 100 days…
As the Democratic Party rebuilds itself for the 2018 and 2020 elections, Democratic strategists have been preoccupied with a pressing question: Why did so many voters who backed Barack Obama in 2012 switch to Donald Trump four years later, and what can be done to win them back?
Top Democratic pollsters have conducted private focus groups and polling in an effort to answer that question, and they shared the results with me.
One finding from the polling stands out: A shockingly large percentage of these Obama-Trump voters said Democrats’ economic policies will favor the wealthy — twice the percentage that said the same about Trump. I was also permitted to view video of some focus group activity, which showed Obama-Trump voters offering sharp criticism of Democrats on the economy.
Priorities USA, the super PAC that is working to restore Democrats to power, conducted focus groups of Obama-Trump voters in Wisconsin and Michigan – two states that Trump snatched from Democrats – in late January and polled some 800 Obama-Trump voters nationally at around the same time. The pollsters also conducted focus groups with so-called drop-off voters – people who voted for Obama in 2012 but didn’t vote in 2016 – in the same states and polled 800 drop-off voters nationally.
“[Hillary] Clinton and Democrats’ economic message did not break through to drop-off or Obama-Trump voters, even though drop-off voters are decidedly anti-Trump,” Priorities USA concluded in a presentation of its polling data and focus group findings, which has been shown to party officials in recent days.
The poll found that Obama-Trump voters, many of whom are working-class whites and were pivotal to Trump’s victory, are economically losing ground and are skeptical of Democratic solutions to their problems. Among the findings:
• 50 percent of Obama-Trump voters said their incomes are falling behind the cost of living, and another 31 percent said their incomes are merely keeping pace with the cost of living.
• A sizable chunk of Obama-Trump voters – 30 percent – said their vote for Trump was more a vote against Clinton than a vote for Trump. Remember, these voters backed Obama four years earlier.
• 42 percent of Obama-Trump voters said congressional Democrats’ economic policies will favor the wealthy, vs. only 21 percent of them who said the same about Trump. (Forty percent say that about congressional Republicans.) A total of 77 percent of Obama-Trump voters said Trump’s policies will favor some mix of all other classes (middle class, poor, all equally), while a total of 58 percent said that about congressional Democrats.
…just as we saw in Brexit, it is the local domestic working poor who face the most friction from neoliberal free market globalisation. For the hip young things that the Democrats were trying to win over, they have the education, training and social media micro-aggression skills to maximise their use of neoliberal free market globalisation, but if you are the working class, you don’t see any positive from it.
It is the working class in America who have seen their factories moved off shore, it is the working class who see their kids shipped off to fight America’s corporate wars, it is the working class who compete with jobs from mass migration.
By focusing on Russia, Democrats are ignoring their own failures in candidate and policy to explain why they lost the election.
Apart from the hypocrisy of America, a country who has meddled in and influenced almost a hundred other elections with brutal coups and right wing paramilitary death squads, blaming Russia becomes a rabbit hole inside a rabbit hole when you consider the ease with which the CIA or NSA can mask their own actions as Russian.
The attempts by liberals in America to claim Trump supporters have walked away from Trump have been shot down mostly because Trump supporters who have hurt for so long under neoliberal free market globalisation want Trump in there as a wrecking ball, when they hear the liberal media scream, they know Donald is doing what they voted him in for.
Likewise, attempts to replace Trump is just wishful thinking. Could you imagine the civil revolt that would erupt if the establishment attempted to commit a coup and remove Trump from power?
Democrats can blame Russia, they can blame sexism and they can blame racism if they want, but the simple grim truth is that it was the Democrats own welded on position to neoliberal free market globalisation that cost them the election.
Living in denial about that simply makes it easier for Trump to keep those voters who have been left behind by neoliberal free market globalisation and helps Trump win in 2020.