Phew – National Party hubris seals strategy

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The National Party are bot listening to Matthew Hooton. Phew.

Hooton has crunched the numbers and based on past polling National always drops 6 points come election day. National aren’t listening. Barging through the need to cut deals with all the arrogance of Brownlee in a hurry at the airport, Key has decided there will be no deal in East Coast Bays and that Murray McCully will be on the ballot box.

Phew.

National have also ignored Hotton’s advice to remove Goldsmith off the ballot in Epsom.

Phew.

For progressives in Epsom and East Coast Bays, they now have the ability to kill off two of Key’s potential coalition partners. Any of the 6000 Labour and Green voters who wasted their vote for a candidate in Epsom need to vote Goldsmith and ACT are ended as a political force. For every National Party Epsom voter concerned enough to vote for an inconsequential fart of a candidate like David Seymour, there are a dozen Labour Party and Green Party Epsom Voters who’ll vote Goldsmith to block him.

 

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Labour voters and Green voters in East Coast Bays should hold their nose and vote McCully to shut down any chance of Colin Craig getting in.

No political analysis would be complete without a Star Wars analogy.  National’s hubris is akin to Grand Moff Tarkin being informed that an examination of the X-Wing Fighter tactics suggests a possible weakness in the Death Star’s defences. Tarkin laugh’s the threat off, and so has Key.

In terms of the list itself, beyond being the usual old boy network it always is, Hekia Parata  jumping 11 places up the National Party list for trashing public education should make all NZers shiver with fear. Little is known about what radical reforms we will actually see National adopt in a 3rd term, privatisation of education clearly seems to be one of those with Pararta’s promotion.

The Daily Blog will release a nationwide electorate by electorate progressive voters guide advising who to vote for in your electorate to maximise the chance of changing the Government.

11 COMMENTS

  1. Excellent. Yes the left should start an online blitz of “how to change the government!” and “how to delete Key, ACT, hairdo and Colon” voter guides.

    But, is any further squiggling around by the right still possible? I would have thought there was regarding Electoral Commission ballot form print schedules.

  2. Will any of the parties of the left promote strategic voting this election? I doubt if they will but I wish they would.
    I wish the left would get off their arses and get strategic voting info into voters letter boxes nice and early before our letterboxes fill with so much election garbage. Labour and Green election hoardings in Epsom should be advising voters to VOTE GOLDSMITH.
    The left need to work as a bloc otherwise dear leader will be in power for three more terms.

  3. The nod to McCully seems to me superficial at best. Note Key’s statement (copied from NZH website):

    “There may be a few electorates like Ohariu and Epsom where they may say it makes sense to give a bit of support to Act or United, just get them over the line.
    In essence you may see a situation where we are a bit more sympathetic if someone wants to give their — for instance in Epsom — give their electorate vote to David Seymour, and their party vote to National.”

    Nudge, wink. I’d say he couldn’t be any more obvious about it, but we all know from experience that he could. Who knows, perhaps he’s becoming sentient.

  4. The Green Party officially only encourages its supporters to give their party vote to the party. The bigger danger is that Green Party supporters will give their candidate vote to Labour than that they will give it to the Green candidate.

  5. Very important that Green voters give their constituency vote to the Labour candidate in Ohariu to get rid of the cling on parasite that is Peter Dunne

  6. No matter what the Green party encourages, their followers are not told about tactical voting and have to wander around musing about it themselves. If they aren’t informed that the only way the Greens will gain any power or say is by voting for their Labour electoral candidate (in all but one or two circumstances) then they will continue to muck up and split the electoral vote. Greenies: electoral vote Labour.

  7. Grand Moff Tarkin? At least he was cool, albeit in an evil way. Whereas this muppet drops his sweetened contempt over all in this country….be you a primeval forest, a river or a human facing the low point of your life. Our proud foreign policy of independence and of peacekeeping is trampled by this oaf fawning alternatively to the USA or China, both of which have made many murderous decisions. I am reminded of Robert E Lee in Gods and Generals where he says “We are adrift in a sea of blood…”. But we live in a selfish age, where the price of gas or milk means more than hard earned knowledge of our place in the world and our being one of the leading social democracies. As for the homeless in the street in this land, one weeps.

    Ted.

    • Well said Ted.

      I can’t believe this fine country has been asset-stripped and sold down the river by neoliberals and their croney capitalist mates, under the guise of “Mum and Dad investors”

      Our stance on nuclear free sold down the river for an appearance on Letterman, a possible seat on the Security Council, a handshake and game of golf with Obama.

      Our export and innovation-driven economy is being sold down the polluted river for a shonkey TPPA and TISA deal; by selling investment houses to Chinese and on the back of dairy farms.

      Our country that first gave women the vote in 1893 has been sold down the river by a Slater accusing Tania Billingsley of being a Honey-trap. By Paul Henry asking the female Nanotechnology Professor if she had sex with Richard Branston. By misogynist kiwis giving David Cunliffe stick for pointing out that mainly men are the perpetrators of domestic violence. And don’t get me started on Ali Pugh being cloned into Pippa Wetzell.

      Market values and neoliberal ACT Party “personal responsibility” have usurped “Kiwis helping kiwis”, have labelled “looking out for one another” as nanny state bludging. As you eloquently put it Ted, “hard earned knowledge of our place in the world and our being one of the leading social democracies.”

      It sickens me to the core that ‘over the last decade or so, there has been a general trend in western societies towards mass populism, “rabble” democracy, and a “consumer is king” cultural mentality. The rise of politicians like [John Key] who, more than any other political figure, epitomises the new culture.

      The roots of much of this lie, not least, in the extent to which the market has become all-pervasive and progressively invading the culture. The market mentality has moved well beyond the original areas of contestation into health, education, old age, culture, relationships, morality, personal behaviour and childhood. The market as the measure of all worth is visibly on the march, seeping into every pore of society.’

      (loosely borrowed from: http://www.theguardian.com/comment/story/0,3604,805161,00.html) which focused on Britain’s New Labour (New Zealand’s New National)

      We need to take back power from the free-marketeers, the sellers of nations, the neoliberals.

      We don’t want a new flag, we don’t want new money, we don’t want the All Blacks to be sponsored by AIG and we don’t want John Key as leader of the pack. We want back “our hard earned knowledge of our place in the world and our being one of the leading social democracies”

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